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Ivory Coast vs Gambia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations
Ivory Coast Logo

Ivory Coast

qua., 11 de nov. de 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Gambia Logo

Gambia

Nossa Dica
Resumo Prob Vitória Gols Forma H2H Tática Jogadores Índices Previsões Linha de Tempo Precisão Comparar

Resumo do Jogo

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Ivory Coast have averaged 1.77 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Gambia's 1.69 scored and 1.52 conceded. Past meetings favor Ivory Coast slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 24 de mar. de 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.96 - 1.18) back Ivory Coast to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

60%
Ivory Coast
22%
Empates
18%
Gambia
Projeção de empate: 22% Favorito: Ivory Coast

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

82% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Form's been kind to Ivory Coast lately — more wins on the board than Gambia.
  • Model gives Ivory Coast a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Ivory Coast have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ivory Coast, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ivory Coast have taken 4 of them.

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 49%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 22%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 67.4%
Ivory Coast Sem Sofrer Gols 20%
Gambia Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Ivory Coast Gambia
Partidas Jogadas 35 29
Vitórias 24 10
Empates 2 8
Derrotas 9 11
Gols Marcados 1.77 1.69
Gols Sofridos 0.63 1.52
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.96 1.18
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

24 de mar. de 2025 World Championship
Ivory Coast vs Gambia
1:0
20 de nov. de 2023 World Championship
Gambia vs Ivory Coast
0:2
8 de jun. de 2013 World Championship
Gambia vs Ivory Coast
0:3
23 de mar. de 2013 World Championship
Ivory Coast vs Gambia
3:0
3 de nov. de 1984 World Championship
Gambia vs Ivory Coast
3:2

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Ivory Coast 58 / 100
Gambia 18 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Ivory Coast Gambia

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Ivory Coast Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Ivory Coast found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (35 games).

Gambia has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Ivory Coast went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

Ivory Coast VS Gambia
2.13 Gols Marcados 1.6
0.75 Gols Sofridos 1.8
75% Mais de 1.5 80%
63% Mais de 2.5 80%
38% Mais de 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivory Coast

(Home)
03 Oct
Ivory Coast
0 : 1
Cameroon
29 Sept
Somalia
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
24 Sept
Ivory Coast
2 : 0
Ghana
30 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 2
Norway
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
Page 1 of 7

Gambia

(Away)
29 Sept
Ghana
2 : 4
Gambia
25 Sept
Gambia
2 : 1
Somalia
29 May
Iran
3 : 1
Gambia
31 Mar
Senegal
3 : 1
Gambia
18 Nov
Kuwait
2 : 2
Gambia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)