Palpites de Esportes

Stadium Background

Jiangxi Lushan vs Dalian Kun City

China China

FA Cup Ruichang Sports Park Stadium, Jiujiang
Nossa Dica

Eventos da Partida

6' Event
Zhang Yanjun
27' Event
Pi Ziyang

Resumo do Jogo

This match ends 2-0, with Jiangxi Lushan advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

42%
Jiangxi Lushan
20%
Empates
38%
Dalian Kun City
Projeção de empate: 20% Favorito: Jiangxi Lushan

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

67% / Média de Confiança
  • Jiangxi Lushan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jiangxi Lushan a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Jiangxi Lushan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Jiangxi Lushan, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Estruturas defensivas fortes favorecem um jogo controlado e de poucos gols.

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 38%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 19%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 9%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 72.2%
Jiangxi Lushan Sem Sofrer Gols 20%
Dalian Kun City Sem Sofrer Gols 11%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Jiangxi Lushan Dalian Kun City
Partidas Jogadas 28 29
Vitórias 12 7
Empates 7 10
Derrotas 9 12
Gols Marcados 0.88 1.38
Gols Sofridos 1 1.63
Gols Esperados (xG) 0.88 1.38
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

17 de mai. de 2026 FA Cup
Jiangxi Lushan vs Dalian Kun City
2:0

Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave

Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols

Jiangxi Lushan Comparar

Artilheiro Zhang Yanjun
1 Gols
Líder de Assistências Pi Ziyang
1 Ast
Média xG / jogo 0.68
Média xA / jogo 0.44

Dalian Kun City Comparar

Média xG / jogo 1.25
Média xA / jogo 0.77

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Jiangxi Lushan 42 / 100
Dalian Kun City 36 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Jiangxi Lushan Dalian Kun City

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Draw (X)
Escolha Secundária Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Under 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Dalian Kun City has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Jiangxi Lushan found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Jiangxi Lushan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

Jiangxi Lushan VS Dalian Kun City
0.88 Gols Marcados 1.38
1 Gols Sofridos 1.63
63% Mais de 1.5 75%
38% Mais de 2.5 50%
0% Mais de 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jiangxi Lushan

(Home)
01 Aug
Wenzhou Professional
1 : 1
Jiangxi Lushan
25 Jul
Jiangxi Lushan
1 : 2
Shenzhen 2028
19 Jul
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
08 Jul
Hangzhou Linping
2 : 1
Jiangxi Lushan
05 Jul
Guizhou Guiyang
1 : 2
Jiangxi Lushan
Page 1 of 6

Dalian Kun City

(Away)
01 Aug
Dalian Kun City
2 : 2
Shaanxi Union
26 Jul
Dalian Kun City
0 : 0
Suzhou Dongwu
18 Jul
Meizhou Hakka
2 : 0
Dalian Kun City
11 Jul
Dalian Kun City
2 : 0
Nanjing City
05 Jul
Guangxi Hengchen
3 : 1
Dalian Kun City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Quanzhou Qinggong0
Jiangxi Lushan7
TBD-
Dalian Kun City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Henan Songshan Longmen-
Ningxia Pingluo0
Hangzhou Linping2
TBD-
Foshan Nanshi-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dalian Yingbo-
Guizhou Xufengtang2
Taian Tiankuang1
TBD-
Shijiazhuang Gongfu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shanghai Shenhua-
Yunnan Cuanhe0
Guangzhou Dandelion1
TBD-
Wuxi Wugou-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Qingdao Hainiu-
Yulin Miners2
Ganzhou Ruishi0
TBD-
Suzhou Dongwu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Yunnan Yukun-
Shanghai Zetian4
Changchun Xidu2
TBD-
Dingnan Ganlian-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chengdu Rongcheng-
Liaocheng Legend2
Beijing Technology1
TBD-
Ningbo Professional-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chongqing Tonglianglong-
Qingdao Fuli0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai2
TBD-
Changchun Yatai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Qingdao West Coast-
Guangdong Shudihong1
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic4
TBD-
Meizhou Hakka-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger-
Xiamen Chengyi0
Shenzhen 20281
TBD-
Shaanxi Union-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zhejiang Professional-
Dalian Kewei2
Wenzhou Professional0
TBD-
Nantong Zhiyun-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Liaoning Tieren-
Wuhan Lianzhen1
Xiamen Feilu0
TBD-
Guangdong GZ-Power-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Beijing Guoan-
Chongqing Handa0
Qingdao Red Lions1
TBD-
Nanjing City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wuhan Three Towns-
Hubei Istar1
Nantong Haimen0
TBD-
Guangxi Hengchen-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shandong Taishan-
Shanghai Second1
Guangdong Mingtu0
TBD-
Yanbian Longding-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shanghai Port-
Beijing Pengrui2
Guizhou Guiyang1
TBD-
Shenzhen Juniors-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-
1/32-finals
Jiangxi Lushan2
Dalian Kun City0
TBD-
Henan Songshan Longmen-
Hangzhou Linping1
Foshan Nanshi0
TBD-
Dalian Yingbo-
Guizhou Xufengtang0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu1
TBD-
Shanghai Shenhua-
Guangzhou Dandelion0
Wuxi Wugou2
TBD-
Qingdao Hainiu-
Yulin Miners0
Suzhou Dongwu2
TBD-
Yunnan Yukun-
Shanghai Zetian4
Dingnan Ganlian2
TBD-
Chengdu Rongcheng-
Liaocheng Legend1
Ningbo Professional4
TBD-
Chongqing Tonglianglong-
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai2
Changchun Yatai1
TBD-
Qingdao West Coast-
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic2
Meizhou Hakka1
TBD-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger-
Shenzhen 20280
Shaanxi Union2
TBD-
Zhejiang Professional-
Dalian Kewei2
Nantong Zhiyun1
TBD-
Liaoning Tieren-
Wuhan Lianzhen0
Guangdong GZ-Power1
TBD-
Beijing Guoan-
Qingdao Red Lions1
Nanjing City0
TBD-
Wuhan Three Towns-
Hubei Istar0
Guangxi Hengchen4
TBD-
Shandong Taishan-
Shanghai Second1
Yanbian Longding0
TBD-
Shanghai Port-
Beijing Pengrui0
Shenzhen Juniors1
TBD-
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-
1/16-finals
Jiangxi Lushan0
Henan Songshan Longmen2
Hangzhou Linping1
Dalian Yingbo2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Shanghai Shenhua2
Wuxi Wugou2
Qingdao Hainiu3
Suzhou Dongwu2
Yunnan Yukun4
Shanghai Zetian0
Chengdu Rongcheng4
Ningbo Professional0
Chongqing Tonglianglong2
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1
Qingdao West Coast2
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
Shaanxi Union2
Zhejiang Professional1
Dalian Kewei1
Liaoning Tieren0
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Beijing Guoan2
Qingdao Red Lions0
Wuhan Three Towns1
Guangxi Hengchen0
Shandong Taishan5
Shanghai Second1
Shanghai Port2
Shenzhen Juniors1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng3
1/8-finals
Henan Songshan Longmen1
Dalian Yingbo2
Shanghai Shenhua4
Qingdao Hainiu1
Yunnan Yukun4
Chengdu Rongcheng3
Chongqing Tonglianglong2
Qingdao West Coast0
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic2
Shaanxi Union0
Dalian Kewei1
Beijing Guoan2
Wuhan Three Towns2
Shandong Taishan3
Shanghai Port2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
Quarter-finals
Dalian Yingbo-
Shanghai Shenhua-
Yunnan Yukun-
Chongqing Tonglianglong-
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic-
Beijing Guoan-
Shandong Taishan-
Shanghai Port-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-