Palpites de Esportes

Stadium Background

Leyton Orient vs Aston Villa U21

Inglaterra Inglaterra

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Brisbane Road, London
Nossa Dica

Eventos da Partida

33'
Sub
Lloyd A. Entra: Gordon L.
Sai: Lloyd A.
46'
Sub
White J. Entra: Obiero Z.
Sai: White J.
58'
Sub
Wilson R. Entra: Cotcher M.
Sai: Wilson R.

Resumo do Jogo

Leyton Orient in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

90%
Leyton Orient
6%
Empates
4%
Aston Villa U21
Projeção de empate: 6% Favorito: Leyton Orient

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

95% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Aston Villa U21 average 1.83 goals a game right now, well clear of Leyton Orient's 1.25.
  • Model gives Leyton Orient a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Leyton Orient, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 37.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 17%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 75.8%
Leyton Orient Sem Sofrer Gols 15%
Aston Villa U21 Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Leyton Orient Aston Villa U21
Partidas Jogadas 30 30
Vitórias 12 12
Empates 5 5
Derrotas 13 13
Gols Marcados 1.25 1.83
Gols Sofridos 1.25 2
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.25 1.83
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

28 de out. de 2025 EFL Trophy
Leyton Orient vs Aston Villa U21
1:0

Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave

Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols

Leyton Orient Comparar

Artilheiro Jaiyesimi D.
1 Gols
Média xG / jogo 0.96
Média xA / jogo 0.63

Aston Villa U21 Comparar

Média xG / jogo 1.66
Média xA / jogo 1.02

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Leyton Orient 84 / 100
Aston Villa U21 10 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Leyton Orient Aston Villa U21

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal LEY Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Aston Villa U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Leyton Orient found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Leyton Orient went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Tendências de Gols

Leyton Orient VS Aston Villa U21
1.25 Gols Marcados 1.83
1.25 Gols Sofridos 2
75% Mais de 1.5 83%
50% Mais de 2.5 67%
25% Mais de 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leyton Orient

(Home)
04 Aug
Waltham Abbey
1 : 7
Leyton Orient
02 Aug
Leyton Orient
2 : 1
Antwerp
28 Jul
Swindon
2 : 1
Leyton Orient
25 Jul
Southend
1 : 2
Leyton Orient
21 Jul
Hornchurch
2 : 1
Leyton Orient
Page 1 of 6

Aston Villa U21

(Away)
01 Aug
Shrewsbury
3 : 2
Aston Villa U21
21 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 2
Aston Villa U21
01 May
Aston Villa U21
2 : 3
Manchester City U21
24 Apr
Southampton U21
3 : 4
Aston Villa U21
17 Apr
Stoke City U21
0 : 1
Aston Villa U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Stockport County 3 2 0 1 7:7 5
3 Wolves U21 3 1 0 2 7:10 3
4 Wigan 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranmere 3 3 0 0 6:4 8
2 Blackpool 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Barrow 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Nottingham U21 3 0 0 3 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doncaster 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Bradford City 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Grimsby 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Everton U21 3 0 0 3 5:12 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lincoln City 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Barnsley 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
3 Manchester United U21 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Notts County 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolton 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Rotherham 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
4 Oldham 3 0 0 3 5:14 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harrogate 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Huddersfield 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
3 Newcastle Utd U21 3 1 0 2 5:11 2
4 Mansfield 3 0 0 3 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Port Vale 3 2 0 1 9:4 7
2 Fleetwood Town 3 3 0 0 9:5 7
3 Accrington 3 1 0 2 5:6 4
4 Leeds U21 3 0 0 3 3:11 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crewe 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Chesterfield 3 1 0 2 4:9 4
3 Burton 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Liverpool U21 3 1 0 2 2:6 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Exeter 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Newport 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Arsenal U21 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol Rovers 3 3 0 0 6:4 8
2 Plymouth 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Cheltenham 3 1 0 2 2:5 2
4 Tottenham U21 3 0 0 3 8:12 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northampton 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Walsall 3 2 0 1 3:2 5
3 Shrewsbury 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Chelsea U21 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swindon 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
2 West Ham U21 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Reading 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
4 Milton Keynes Dons 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stevenage 3 3 0 0 12:4 9
2 AFC Wimbledon 3 2 0 1 6:7 6
3 Bromley 3 1 0 2 5:7 2
4 Crystal Palace U21 3 0 0 3 6:11 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leyton Orient 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Peterborough 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
3 Crawley Town 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Aston Villa U21 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Gillingham 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Fulham U21 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luton 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
2 Cambridge Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Barnet 3 2 0 1 5:7 5
4 Brighton U21 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)