Palpites de Esportes

Stadium Background

Lithuania vs Malta

World World

World Championship 2026 S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, Kaunas
Nossa Dica

Eventos da Partida

12'
Satariano A.
26'
Mbong P.
36'
Tutyskinas A.

Resumo do Jogo

Neither side could be separated in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

42%
Lithuania
20%
Empates
38%
Malta
Projeção de empate: 20% Favorito: Lithuania

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

67% / Média de Confiança
  • Malta have won more games recently than Lithuania.
  • Win probability leans Lithuania's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Estruturas defensivas fortes favorecem um jogo controlado e de poucos gols.

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 99%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 88%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 25%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 22%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 10%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 25.6%
Lithuania Sem Sofrer Gols 68%
Malta Sem Sofrer Gols 68%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Lithuania Malta
Partidas Jogadas 28 29
Vitórias 6 7
Empates 5 5
Derrotas 17 17
Gols Marcados 0.82 0.69
Gols Sofridos 1.5 1.93
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.81 1.38
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

4 de set. de 2025 World Championship
Lithuania vs Malta
1:1
7 de jun. de 2025 World Championship
Malta vs Lithuania
0:0
5 de out. de 2017 World Championship
Malta vs Lithuania
1:1
11 de out. de 2016 World Championship
Lithuania vs Malta
2:0
8 de jun. de 2015 Friendly International
Malta vs Lithuania
2:0

Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave

Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols

Lithuania Comparar

Média xG / jogo 1.39
Média xA / jogo 0.91

Malta Comparar

Artilheiro Satariano A.
1 Gols
Média xG / jogo 1.25
Média xA / jogo 0.77

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Lithuania 51 / 100
Malta 48 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Lithuania Malta

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Draw (X)
Escolha Secundária Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
Resultado BTTS No (NG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Under 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Defensive concern: Malta conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Malta lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Lithuania scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Tendências de Gols

Lithuania VS Malta
0.75 Gols Marcados 1
1.75 Gols Sofridos 2.88
88% Mais de 1.5 88%
38% Mais de 2.5 63%
25% Mais de 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lithuania

(Home)
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Lithuania
06 Jun
Lithuania
2 : 1
Latvia
29 Mar
Lithuania
0 : 2
Georgia
26 Mar
Moldova
0 : 2
Lithuania
17 Nov
Netherlands
4 : 0
Lithuania
Page 1 of 6

Malta

(Away)
05 Jun
Azerbaijan
0 : 2
Malta
01 Jun
Slovakia
2 : 1
Malta
31 Mar
Luxembourg
3 : 0
Malta
26 Mar
Malta
0 : 2
Luxembourg
17 Nov
Malta
2 : 3
Poland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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