Palpites de Esportes

Stadium Background

Liverpool vs Brighton

Inglaterra Inglaterra

FA Cup Anfield, Liverpool
Nossa Dica

Eventos da Partida

15'
Dunk L.
33'
Gomez D.
41'
Baleba C.

Resumo do Jogo

Liverpool in this FA Cup tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

40%
Liverpool
33%
Empates
27%
Brighton
Projeção de empate: 33% Favorito: Liverpool

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

70% / Média de Confiança
  • Form's been kind to Liverpool lately — more wins on the board than Brighton.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Liverpool taking it.
  • Liverpool have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Liverpool, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 44%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 20%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 72.2%
Liverpool Sem Sofrer Gols 14%
Brighton Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Liverpool Brighton
Partidas Jogadas 30 27
Vitórias 15 10
Empates 4 7
Derrotas 11 10
Gols Marcados 2 1.63
Gols Sofridos 1.63 1.5
Gols Esperados (xG) 2.00 1.63
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

21 de mar. de 2026 Premier League
Brighton vs Liverpool
2:1
14 de fev. de 2026 FA Cup
Liverpool vs Brighton
3:0
13 de dez. de 2025 Premier League
Liverpool vs Brighton
2:0
19 de mai. de 2025 Premier League
Brighton vs Liverpool
3:2
2 de nov. de 2024 Premier League
Liverpool vs Brighton
2:1

Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave

Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols

Liverpool Comparar

Artilheiro Jones C.
1 Gols
Líder de Assistências Szoboszlai D.
1 Ast
Média xG / jogo 1.54
Média xA / jogo 1

Brighton Comparar

Média xG / jogo 1.48
Média xA / jogo 0.91

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Liverpool 39 / 100
Brighton 26 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Liverpool Brighton

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal LIV Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Liverpool found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Brighton has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Liverpool has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tendências de Gols

Liverpool VS Brighton
2 Gols Marcados 1.63
1.63 Gols Sofridos 1.5
88% Mais de 1.5 75%
63% Mais de 2.5 75%
50% Mais de 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Liverpool

(Home)
02 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 4
Leeds
29 Jul
Liverpool
1 : 0
Wrexham
25 Jul
Liverpool
4 : 2
Sunderland
24 May
Liverpool
1 : 1
Brentford
15 May
Aston Villa
4 : 2
Liverpool
Page 1 of 6

Brighton

(Away)
01 Aug
Brighton
4 : 3
Strasbourg
24 May
Brighton
0 : 3
Manchester United
17 May
Leeds
1 : 0
Brighton
09 May
Brighton
3 : 0
Wolves
02 May
Newcastle Utd
3 : 1
Brighton
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Ipswich -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Scunthorpe 0
Reading 2
Carlisle 3
Hull City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Blackburn -
Charlton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Port Vale 5
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Bromley 1
Bristol Rovers 2
Fleetwood Town 2
Barnet 1
Luton 4
Forest Green 3
Bristol City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford -
Colchester 2
Milton Keynes Dons 3
Oldham 3
Northampton 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford Utd -
Everton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sunderland -
Boreham Wood 3
Crawley Town 0
Newport 3
Gillingham 2
Brackley 3
Notts County 2
Burton 6
St. Albans 0
West Ham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
QPR -
Slough Town 2
Altrincham 1
Macclesfield 6
AFC Totton 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crystal Palace -
Sheffield Wed -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
Tranmere 1
Stockport County 3
Cambridge Utd 3
Chester 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birmingham -
Derby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Norwich -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 0
Gateshead 2
Eastleigh 0
Walsall 3
Swansea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
West Brom -
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax 0
Exeter 2
Wycombe 2
Plymouth 0
Salford 2
Lincoln City 1
Tamworth 0
Leyton Orient 1
Rotherham 1
Swindon 2
Bolton 2
Huddersfield 1
Grimsby 3
Ebbsfleet 1
Wealdstone 1
Southend 0
Chelmsford 4
Braintree 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Aldershot 1
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton 2
Telford 1
South Shields 1
Shrewsbury 3
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough 1
Cardiff 0
Barnsley 3
York City 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Stoke City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coventry -
Fulham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Middlesbrough -
Stevenage 0
Chesterfield 1
Crewe 1
Doncaster 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southampton -
Cheltenham 1
Bradford City 0
Buxton 2
Chatham 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leicester -
Burnley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Millwall -
Sheffield Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough 1
Accrington 2
Mansfield 3
Harrogate 2
Portsmouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wigan 2
Hemel Hempstead 1
Spennymoor 0
Barrow 2
1/64-finals
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Ipswich -
TBD -
Blackpool 4
Carlisle 1
Hull City -
TBD -
TBD -
Blackburn -
Charlton -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Port Vale 1
Bristol Rovers 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Luton 2
Bristol City -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford -
Milton Keynes Dons 3
Oldham 1
TBD -
Oxford Utd -
Everton -
TBD -
TBD -
Sunderland -
Boreham Wood 3
Newport 0
Brackley 1
Burton 3
West Ham -
TBD -
TBD -
QPR -
Slough Town 1
Macclesfield 3
TBD -
Crystal Palace -
Sheffield Wed -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
Stockport County 0
Cambridge Utd 1
TBD -
Birmingham -
Derby -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Norwich -
TBD -
Gateshead 0
Walsall 2
Swansea -
TBD -
TBD -
West Brom -
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Exeter 4
Wycombe 0
Salford 4
Leyton Orient 0
Swindon 4
Bolton 0
Grimsby 4
Wealdstone 0
Chelmsford 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wolves -
TBD -
Sutton 1
Shrewsbury 2
Liverpool -
TBD -
Peterborough 0
Barnsley 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Stoke City -
TBD -
TBD -
Coventry -
Fulham -
TBD -
TBD -
Middlesbrough -
Chesterfield 1
Doncaster 2
TBD -
Southampton -
Cheltenham 6
Buxton 2
TBD -
Leicester -
Burnley -
TBD -
TBD -
Millwall -
Sheffield Utd -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Mansfield 3
Portsmouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston -
TBD -
Wigan 3
Barrow 2
1/32-finals
Wrexham 4
Nottingham 3
Ipswich 2
Blackpool 1
Hull City 1
Blackburn 0
Charlton 1
Chelsea 5
Port Vale 1
Fleetwood Town 0
Bristol City 5
Watford 1
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Oxford Utd 2
Everton 1
Sunderland 2
Boreham Wood 0
Burton 5
West Ham 2
QPR 1
Macclesfield 2
Crystal Palace 1
Sheffield Wed 0
Brentford 2
Cambridge Utd 2
Birmingham 3
Derby 1
Leeds 3
Norwich 5
Walsall 1
Swansea 2
West Brom 3
Tottenham 1
Aston Villa 2
Newcastle Utd 4
Bournemouth 3
Manchester City 10
Exeter 1
Salford 3
Swindon 2
Grimsby 3
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wolves 6
Shrewsbury 1
Liverpool 4
Barnsley 1
Manchester United 1
Brighton 2
Stoke City 1
Coventry 0
Fulham 3
Middlesbrough 1
Doncaster 2
Southampton 3
Cheltenham 0
Leicester 2
Burnley 5
Millwall 1
Sheffield Utd 3
Mansfield 4
Portsmouth 1
Arsenal 4
Preston 0
Wigan 1
1/16-finals
Wrexham 1
Ipswich 0
Hull City 0
Chelsea 4
Port Vale 1
Bristol City 0
Oxford Utd 0
Sunderland 1
Burton 0
West Ham 1
Macclesfield 0
Brentford 1
Birmingham 1
Leeds 2
Norwich 3
West Brom 1
Aston Villa 1
Newcastle Utd 3
Manchester City 2
Salford 0
Grimsby 0
Wolves 1
Liverpool 3
Brighton 0
Stoke City 1
Fulham 2
Southampton 2
Leicester 1
Burnley 1
Mansfield 2
Arsenal 4
Wigan 0
1/8-finals
Wrexham 2
Chelsea 4
Port Vale 1
Sunderland 0
West Ham 3
Brentford 2
Leeds 3
Norwich 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 3
Wolves 1
Liverpool 3
Fulham 0
Southampton 1
Mansfield 1
Arsenal 2
Quarter-finals
Chelsea 7
Port Vale 0
West Ham 2
Leeds 3
Manchester City 4
Liverpool 0
Southampton 2
Arsenal 1
Semi-finals
Chelsea 1
Leeds 0
Manchester City 2
Southampton 1
Final
Chelsea 0
Manchester City 1