Palpites de Esportes
Resumo do Jogo
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Probabilidade de Vitória
Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente
40%
33%
27%
Projeção de empate: 33% Favorito: Llanfair United
Confiança do Modelo
Pontuação indicadora agregada
70%
/ Média de Confiança
- Form's been kind to Llanfair United lately — more wins on the board than Kinmel Bay.
- Win probability leans Llanfair United's way, sitting at 40%.
- Llanfair United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Kinmel Bay, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
Probabilidade de Gols
Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG
Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 52.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 24%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 81%
Llanfair United Sem Sofrer Gols 20%
Kinmel Bay Sem Sofrer Gols 10%
Análise de Forma Recente
Médias por partida nos jogos históricos
| Métrica | Llanfair United | Kinmel Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Partidas Jogadas | 21 | 6 |
| Vitórias | 3 | 2 |
| Empates | 1 | 0 |
| Derrotas | 17 | 4 |
| Gols Marcados | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Gols Sofridos | 3 | 2.5 |
| Gols Esperados (xG) | 1.69 | 1.21 |
| Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados
20 de set. de 2025 FA Cup
Llanfair United vs Kinmel Bay
1:2
Índice de Momentum SokaPicks
Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente
Llanfair United 40 / 100
Kinmel Bay 26 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).
Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa
Llanfair United Kinmel Bay
Previsão do Mecanismo
Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas
Escolha Principal Llanfair United Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5
Insights Inteligentes
Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados
Kinmel Bay let in goals in 100% of their last 6 matches.
Llanfair United's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 21 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Difficult form: Kinmel Bay registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Tendências de Gols
Llanfair United VS Kinmel Bay
0.88 Gols Marcados 1.67
0.75 Gols Sofridos 2.5
38% Mais de 1.5 83%
38% Mais de 2.5 83%
38% Mais de 3.5 67%
Recent Form & Match History
Llanfair United
(Home) 20 Sept
Llanfair United
1 : 2 Kinmel Bay
17 Sept
Llanfair United
1 : 2 Llanuwchllyn
14 Aug
Llanfair United
2 : 3 Penrhyndeudraeth FC
07 Mar
Porthmadog
1 : 3 Llanfair United
08 Feb
Llanfair United
2 : 3 Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 5
20 Sept
Llanfair United
1 : 2 Kinmel Bay
17 Sept
Llanfair United
1 : 2 Llanuwchllyn
14 Aug
Llanfair United
2 : 3 Penrhyndeudraeth FC
08 Feb
Llanfair United
2 : 3 Colwyn Bay
01 Feb
Llanfair United
2 : 2 Llandudno FC
Page 1 of 3
Kinmel Bay
(Away) 17 Oct
Colwyn Bay
5 : 0 Kinmel Bay
20 Sept
Llanfair United
1 : 2 Kinmel Bay
19 Oct
Llandudno FC
4 : 3 Kinmel Bay
21 Sept
Kinmel Bay
3 : 1 Brickfield Rangers
06 Jul
Greenfield
1 : 0 Kinmel Bay
Page 1 of 2
17 Oct
Colwyn Bay
5 : 0 Kinmel Bay
20 Sept
Llanfair United
1 : 2 Kinmel Bay
19 Oct
Llandudno FC
4 : 3 Kinmel Bay
06 Jul
Greenfield
1 : 0 Kinmel Bay
16 Sept
Conwy Borough
3 : 2 Kinmel Bay
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Porthmadog 3
Denbigh 2
TBD -
Buckley -
Port Talbot 2
Seven Sisters 1
Afan Lido 3
Evans Williams 2
Pwllheli 1
Rhyl 3
Brickfield Rangers 3
NFA 1
Llantwit Major 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Cwmbran Town 5
Ynyshir Albions 4
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Barry Town -
Caerphilly 1
Caldicot 3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 7
Pentwynmawr Ath 0
Saltney Town 3
Gresford 7
Llanrug 4
Ruthin Town 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Taffs Well 2
Abertillery Excelsiors 1
Mold Alexandra -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llannefydd 5
Llanberis FC 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Sychdyn Utd 0
Llwydcoed 3
Lliswerry 1
Pill -
Treowen -
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Rhayader 1
Cefn Cribwr 4
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Llanfair United 1
Kinmel Bay 2
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Goytre Utd 2
Ammanford Town 1
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Bow Street 4
Cefn Albion 2
TBD -
Flint Town -
Holyhead 4
Forden Utd 0
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Cwmbach Royal Stars 3
Garden Village 4
Tredegar Town 1
Glynneath Town 3
Broughton Utd 2
Welshpool 1
Berriew FC 0
Trearddur Bay 3
Newport City -
TBD -
Penygraig Utd 3
Cwm Welfare 2
Blaenavon Blues 4
Canton 1
Pontyclun FC 4
Tata Steel 1
St. Asaph 0
Bangor 1876 6
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Holywell Town FC -
TBD -
Rhostyllen 5
Nefyn United 2
Dinas Powys 3
Afan United 1
Cardiff Draconians 4
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Abercarn United 1
Pure Swansea 2
TBD -
Trefelin -
Caersws FC 6
Hawarden Rangers 1
Dolgellau Athletic 8
Queens Park 3
Penydarren 0
Caerau Ely 5
Morriston Town 1
Clydach 0
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Mountain -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
1/32-finals
Porthmadog 1
Buckley 0
Port Talbot 3
Afan Lido 1
Rhyl 1
Brickfield Rangers 0
Llantwit Major 1
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 3
Haverfordwest 0
Aberystwyth 0
Barry Town 5
Caldicot 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 2
Gresford 9
Llanrug 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 5
Taffs Well 1
Mold Alexandra 1
TNS 2
Newtown 0
Caernarfon 3
Llannefydd 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Llwydcoed 2
Treowen 5
Pontypridd United 3
Cefn Cribwr 1
Carmarthen Town 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Kinmel Bay 0
Colwyn Bay 5
Goytre Utd 0
Cambrian United 6
Briton Ferry 0
Penybont 5
Bow Street 0
Flint Town 3
Holyhead 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 5
Garden Village 2
Glynneath Town 4
Broughton Utd 0
Trearddur Bay 6
Newport City 3
Penygraig Utd 1
Blaenavon Blues 4
Pontyclun FC 2
Bangor 1876 2
Guilsfield 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Rhostyllen 2
Dinas Powys 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Pure Swansea 1
Trefelin 6
Caersws FC 0
Dolgellau Athletic 1
Caerau Ely 3
Morriston Town 0
Llandudno FC 3
Flint Mountain 0
Bala 0
Connahs Q. 3
1/16-finals
Porthmadog 3
Port Talbot 2
Rhyl 3
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 0
Barry Town 6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 0
Gresford 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
TNS 1
Caernarfon 4
Penrhyncoch 0
Treowen 1
Pontypridd United 2
Carmarthen Town 1
Colwyn Bay 3
Cambrian United 1
Penybont 3
Flint Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Glynneath Town 2
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Blaenavon Blues 2
Bangor 1876 2
Holywell Town FC 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Trefelin 4
Dolgellau Athletic 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 2
Connahs Q. 1
1/8-finals
Porthmadog 1
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 4
Gresford 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Caernarfon 4
Pontypridd United 0
Colwyn Bay 3
Penybont 0
Flint Town 1
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Bangor 1876 2
Trefelin 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 1
Quarter-finals
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 1
Caernarfon 4
Colwyn Bay 1
Flint Town 3
Trearddur Bay 0
Bangor 1876 3
Caerau Ely 1
Semi-finals
Rhyl 1
Caernarfon 2
Flint Town 5
Bangor 1876 1
Final
Caernarfon 3
Flint Town 0
