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Luton U21 vs Nottingham U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Inglaterra Inglaterra

Premier League Cup
sex., 30 de out. de 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This has Nottingham U21 written all over it on paper. Luton U21 have averaged 0.97 scored and 2.62 conceded recently, against Nottingham U21's 1.63 scored and 1.49 conceded. Past meetings favor Nottingham U21 slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 14 de ago. de 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (0.94 - 2.06) back Nottingham U21 to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

4%
Luton U21
6%
Empates
90%
Nottingham U21
Projeção de empate: 6% Favorito: Nottingham U21

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

95% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Luton U21 haven't matched Nottingham U21's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Nottingham U21 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Nottingham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 37.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 17%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 73.4%
Luton U21 Sem Sofrer Gols 10%
Nottingham U21 Sem Sofrer Gols 16%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Luton U21 Nottingham U21
Partidas Jogadas 29 35
Vitórias 5 20
Empates 2 1
Derrotas 22 14
Gols Marcados 0.97 1.63
Gols Sofridos 2.62 1.49
Gols Esperados (xG) 0.94 2.06
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

14 de ago. de 2026 Premier League Cup
Nottingham U21 vs Luton U21
2:0
7 de mar. de 2025 Premier League Cup
Nottingham U21 vs Luton U21
2:0

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Luton U21 10 / 100
Nottingham U21 84 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Luton U21 Nottingham U21

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Nottingham U21 Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Attacking prowess: Luton U21 scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Nottingham U21 conceded in 74% of 35 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Nottingham U21 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tendências de Gols

Luton U21 VS Nottingham U21
0.25 Gols Marcados 1.63
2.5 Gols Sofridos 1.63
75% Mais de 1.5 88%
50% Mais de 2.5 75%
50% Mais de 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luton U21

(Home)
09 Oct
Newcastle Utd U21
4 : 1
Luton U21
07 Sept
Luton U21
0 : 4
Peterborough U21
14 Aug
Nottingham U21
2 : 0
Luton U21
22 Dec
West Brom U21
4 : 3
Luton U21
14 Dec
Brentford U21
2 : 1
Luton U21
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham U21

(Away)
20 Oct
Wealdstone
1 : 0
Nottingham U21
16 Oct
Nottingham U21
3 : 2
Manchester United U21
13 Oct
Notts County
5 : 1
Nottingham U21
09 Oct
Peterborough U21
1 : 5
Nottingham U21
30 Sept
Nottingham U21
2 : 4
Sporting CP B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southampton U21 3 2 1 0 10:2 7
2 Blackburn U21 3 1 1 1 7:9 4
3 QPR U21 3 1 0 2 7:10 3
4 Bolton U21 3 0 2 1 5:8 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bournemouth U21 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
2 Leicester U21 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Cardiff U21 3 2 0 1 8:6 6
4 Plymouth U21 3 0 0 3 4:12 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U21 3 2 1 0 10:5 7
2 Swansea U21 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Birmingham U21 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Gillingham U21 2 0 0 2 1:8 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Newcastle Utd U21 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Peterborough U21 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
4 Luton U21 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolves U21 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Preston U21 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Burnley U21 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Fleetwood Town U21 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Sheffield Utd U21 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Millwall U21 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 West Ham U21 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol City U21 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
2 Norwich U21 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
3 Exeter U21 2 1 0 1 6:6 3
4 Reading U21 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coventry U21 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
2 Ipswich U21 3 1 1 1 8:8 4
3 West Brom U21 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Bromley U21 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U21 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Leeds U21 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Stockport U21 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Stoke City U21 3 0 2 1 2:6 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brentford U21 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Hull City U21 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Wycombe U21 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
4 Derby U21 2 0 0 2 3:8 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams