Palpites de Esportes
Resumo do Jogo
This Division 2 Women 2011/2012 encounter between Macon W and US Blanzy Foot W promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Macon W averages 1.1 goals scored and 2.8 conceded in recent matches. US Blanzy Foot W shows a form average of 0.6 goals scored and 3.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Macon W, 3 wins for US Blanzy Foot W, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 03.02.13 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.17 for Macon W and 2.75 for US Blanzy Foot W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Macon W double chance or over markets.
Probabilidade de Vitória
Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente
Confiança do Modelo
Pontuação indicadora agregada
- Macon W conquistou mais pontos recentemente do que US Blanzy Foot W.
- Modelo prevê maior perigo de gol para o mandante (1.17 vs 2.75 xG).
- Confrontos passados mostram padrão claro a favor do time da casa.
- Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 72%).
Probabilidade de Gols
Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG
Análise de Forma Recente
Médias por partida nos jogos históricos
| Métrica | Macon W | US Blanzy Foot W |
|---|---|---|
| Partidas Jogadas | 32 | 32 |
| Vitórias | 4 | 2 |
| Empates | 7 | 2 |
| Derrotas | 21 | 28 |
| Gols Marcados | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Gols Sofridos | 2.84 | 3.38 |
H2H
Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados
Perfil Tático do Confronto
Posições de Campo e Estilo de Controle
Macon W
US Blanzy Foot W
Índice de Momentum Sokapicks
Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente
Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa
Previsão do Mecanismo
Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas
Detetor de Value Bet (+EV)
Onde a probabilidade do modelo supera a das casas
Linha do Tempo do Jogo
Projeções de dominância e pressão em blocos de 15 min
Macon W is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
US Blanzy Foot W will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Macon W's attacks.
Expect Macon W to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Macon W vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for US Blanzy Foot W, allowing Macon W's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Macon W, while US Blanzy Foot W takes risks to salvage a result.
Mapas de Calor e Chutes
Sobreposições térmicas calculadas por entradas de zona
Insights Inteligentes
Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados
Macon W have found the net in 72% of their last 32 matches.
US Blanzy Foot W have conceded at least one goal in 94% of their last 32 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 4.20 goals per match.
Macon W remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
US Blanzy Foot W suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.
Análise de Risco
Avaliando possíveis imprevistos e variáveis externas
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Comparador de Equipes
Comparação lado a lado das métricas
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arras W | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 59:18 | 75 |
| 2 | Le Mans W | 22 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 62:24 | 74 |
| 3 | Gravelines W | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 52:18 | 67 |
| 4 | Compiegne Club Oise W | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 47:31 | 63 |
| 5 | Dijon W | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 34:33 | 49 |
| 6 | Amiens W | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 36:43 | 48 |
| 7 | Mars Bischheim W | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 36:48 | 48 |
| 8 | Rouen W | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 26:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Cormelles W | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 56:60 | 46 |
| 10 | Metz W | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 18:40 | 45 |
| 11 | Bagneux W | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21:50 | 40 |
| 12 | Gonfreville W | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13:54 | 37 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Issy W | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 64:29 | 71 |
| 2 | La Roche W | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 67:29 | 69 |
| 3 | Orvault W | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 52:26 | 66 |
| 4 | Montigny-le-Bretonneux W | 22 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 69:27 | 65 |
| 5 | Bordeaux W | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 42:25 | 59 |
| 6 | Angers W | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 45:42 | 58 |
| 7 | Conde-sur-Noireau W | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 45:36 | 56 |
| 8 | F.A.S Herblay W | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 45:35 | 48 |
| 9 | ES des Trois Cites Poitiers W | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:42 | 44 |
| 10 | USC Corne W | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19:46 | 42 |
| 11 | Tours W | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 24:61 | 37 |
| 12 | Rennes W | 22 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 15:112 | 19 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toulouse W | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 89:20 | 81 |
| 2 | Albi-Marssac W | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 56:23 | 71 |
| 3 | Monteux W | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 56:20 | 64 |
| 4 | Grenoble W | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 54:30 | 63 |
| 5 | Nimes W | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 41:33 | 60 |
| 6 | Le Puy W | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 46:29 | 56 |
| 7 | Veore Montoison W | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 42:47 | 55 |
| 8 | Aurillac W | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 49:56 | 53 |
| 9 | US Blanzy Foot W | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 34:62 | 40 |
| 10 | Macon W | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 33:56 | 37 |
| 11 | Chatenoy W | 22 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 25:80 | 30 |
| 12 | ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W | 22 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 19:88 | 24 |