Palpites de Esportes

Stadium Background

Malta vs Netherlands

World World

World Championship 2026 Ta'Qali National Stadium, Ta' Qali
Nossa Dica

Eventos da Partida

12' Event
Gakpo C.
(Pênalti)
37'
Camenzuli R.
47'
Pepe E.

Resumo do Jogo

Netherlands in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Netherlands.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

9%
Malta
11%
Empates
80%
Netherlands
Projeção de empate: 11% Favorito: Netherlands

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

93% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Netherlands have won more games recently than Malta.
  • Model gives Netherlands a 80% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Netherlands here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 99%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 88%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 44%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 20%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 29.6%
Malta Sem Sofrer Gols 10%
Netherlands Sem Sofrer Gols 68%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Malta Netherlands
Partidas Jogadas 29 30
Vitórias 7 15
Empates 5 9
Derrotas 17 6
Gols Marcados 0.69 2.37
Gols Sofridos 1.93 1.13
Gols Esperados (xG) 0.81 2.31
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

9 de out. de 2025 World Championship
Malta vs Netherlands
0:4
10 de jun. de 2025 World Championship
Netherlands vs Malta
8:0
10 de out. de 1995 Euro
Malta vs Netherlands
0:4
28 de mar. de 1995 Euro
Netherlands vs Malta
4:0
13 de mar. de 1991 Euro
Netherlands vs Malta
1:0

Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave

Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols

Malta Comparar

Média xG / jogo 0.62
Média xA / jogo 0.41

Netherlands Comparar

Artilheiro Reijnders T.
1 Gols
Líder de Assistências Depay M.
1 Ast
Média xG / jogo 2.1
Média xA / jogo 1.28

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Malta 10 / 100
Netherlands 86 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Malta Netherlands

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Netherlands Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
Resultado BTTS No (NG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Netherlands let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Malta's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Malta went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

Malta VS Netherlands
1 Gols Marcados 2.25
2.38 Gols Sofridos 0.63
88% Mais de 1.5 88%
75% Mais de 2.5 63%
50% Mais de 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Malta

(Home)
05 Jun
Azerbaijan
0 : 2
Malta
01 Jun
Slovakia
2 : 1
Malta
31 Mar
Luxembourg
3 : 0
Malta
26 Mar
Malta
0 : 2
Luxembourg
17 Nov
Malta
2 : 3
Poland
Page 1 of 6

Netherlands

(Away)
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2
Morocco
25 Jun
Tunisia
1 : 3
Netherlands
20 Jun
Netherlands
5 : 1
Sweden
14 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 2
Japan
08 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 1
Uzbekistan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)