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Mansfield vs Chesterfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Inglaterra Inglaterra

EFL Trophy One Call Stadium, Mansfield
ter., 10 de nov. de 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Chesterfield have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Mansfield have conceded 1.65 and scored 1.65. Past meetings favor Mansfield slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 12 de ago. de 2025, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.25 - 2.00) back Chesterfield to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

22%
Mansfield
28%
Empates
50%
Chesterfield
Projeção de empate: 28% Favorito: Chesterfield

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

76% / Alta de Confiança
  • Look at the last few games and Chesterfield come out ahead of Mansfield on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chesterfield's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Chesterfield arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chesterfield, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 38%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 17%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 72.6%
Mansfield Sem Sofrer Gols 10%
Chesterfield Sem Sofrer Gols 11%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Mansfield Chesterfield
Partidas Jogadas 26 28
Vitórias 9 13
Empates 8 7
Derrotas 9 8
Gols Marcados 1.65 1.46
Gols Sofridos 1.65 1.21
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.25 2.00
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

12 de ago. de 2025 EFL Cup
Chesterfield vs Mansfield
0:2
14 de abr. de 2018 League Two
Chesterfield vs Mansfield
0:1
25 de nov. de 2017 League Two
Mansfield vs Chesterfield
2:2
22 de mar. de 2014 League Two
Mansfield vs Chesterfield
0:0
8 de out. de 2013 EFL Trophy
Mansfield vs Chesterfield
0:1

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Mansfield 22 / 100
Chesterfield 47 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Mansfield Chesterfield

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Chesterfield Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Mansfield's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Chesterfield has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Mansfield stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

Mansfield VS Chesterfield
0.88 Gols Marcados 2.5
1.5 Gols Sofridos 1.63
50% Mais de 1.5 100%
38% Mais de 2.5 75%
38% Mais de 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mansfield

(Home)
06 Oct
Port Vale
2 : 0
Mansfield
19 Sept
Burton
2 : 2
Mansfield
12 Sept
Mansfield
0 : 0
Huddersfield
05 Sept
Bradford City
1 : 0
Mansfield
02 Sept
Reading
5 : 0
Mansfield
Page 1 of 6

Chesterfield

(Away)
03 Oct
Chesterfield
4 : 2
Tranmere
26 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 1
Chesterfield
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1
Port Vale
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0
York City
15 Sept
Chesterfield
5 : 3
Manchester City U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Accrington 2 2 0 0 4:4 4
3 Salford 2 0 0 2 2:3 1
4 Sunderland U21 2 0 0 2 3:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
2 Crewe 2 1 0 1 6:3 4
3 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 4:5 2
4 Aston Villa U21 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Newcastle Utd U21 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Rotherham 2 1 0 1 1:5 2
4 York City 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chesterfield 2 2 0 0 6:4 5
2 Port Vale 2 1 0 1 3:1 4
3 Manchester City U21 2 1 0 1 7:6 3
4 Mansfield 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 2 2 0 0 8:3 6
2 Tranmere 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 3:6 0
4 Shrewsbury 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Notts County 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Burton 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
3 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
4 Grimsby 2 0 0 2 1:2 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fleetwood Town 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
2 Leeds U21 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
3 Oldham 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Barnsley 2 0 0 2 4:8 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Doncaster 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Liverpool U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
4 Rochdale 2 0 0 2 3:8 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Cheltenham 1 1 0 0 2:2 2
3 Oxford Utd 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
4 Tottenham U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stevenage 2 2 0 0 8:2 6
2 Leicester 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
3 Walsall 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
4 Fulham U21 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
2 Reading 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
3 Chelsea U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
4 Bristol Rovers 2 0 0 2 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Luton 2 2 0 0 7:1 5
3 Colchester 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
4 Ipswich U21 2 0 0 2 1:10 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 2 2 0 0 7:3 5
2 Newport 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Crystal Palace U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
4 Swindon 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 2 2 0 0 5:1 5
2 Arsenal U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
3 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 0 2 1:1 2
4 Leyton Orient 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambridge Utd 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Brighton U21 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
4 Northampton 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 2 2 0 0 11:2 6
2 Crawley Town 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
3 Brentford U21 2 1 0 1 2:7 3
4 Bromley 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)