Palpites de Esportes

Stadium Background

Mongolia U23 vs Hong Kong U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U23 2020
Nossa Dica

Eventos da Partida

71' Event
Yue Tze-Nam

Resumo do Jogo

The AFC Championship U23 2020 game between Mongolia U23 and Hong Kong U23 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hong Kong U23.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

9%
Mongolia U23
11%
Empates
80%
Hong Kong U23
Projeção de empate: 11% Favorito: Hong Kong U23

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

93% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Hong Kong U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hong Kong U23's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 32.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 15%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 66.6%
Mongolia U23 Sem Sofrer Gols 10%
Hong Kong U23 Sem Sofrer Gols 11%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Mongolia U23 Hong Kong U23
Partidas Jogadas 23 30
Vitórias 1 8
Empates 4 4
Derrotas 18 18
Gols Marcados 0.65 0.93
Gols Sofridos 3 2.27
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.29 2.39
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

24 de mar. de 2019 AFC Asian Cup U23
Mongolia U23 vs Hong Kong U23
0:1

Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave

Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols

Mongolia U23 Comparar

Média xG / jogo 0.99
Média xA / jogo 0.65

Hong Kong U23 Comparar

Artilheiro Yue Tze-Nam
1 Gols
Média xG / jogo 2.17
Média xA / jogo 1.33

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Mongolia U23 10 / 100
Hong Kong U23 74 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Mongolia U23 Hong Kong U23

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Hong Kong U23 Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Hong Kong U23 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Hong Kong U23 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Mongolia U23 scored in 48% of their last 23 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Tendências de Gols

Mongolia U23 VS Hong Kong U23
0 Gols Marcados 0.38
4.4 Gols Sofridos 1.38
100% Mais de 1.5 38%
100% Mais de 2.5 38%
40% Mais de 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mongolia U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Lebanon U23
3 : 0
Mongolia U23
06 Sept
Mongolia U23
0 : 7
Malaysia U23
03 Sept
Thailand U23
6 : 0
Mongolia U23
24 Sept
Iran U23
3 : 0
Mongolia U23
21 Sept
Mongolia U23
0 : 3
Saudi Arabia U23
Page 1 of 5

Hong Kong U23

(Away)
23 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
4 : 0
Hong Kong U23
20 Sept
Hong Kong U23
1 : 5
Thailand U23
16 Sept
Japan U23
2 : 0
Hong Kong U23
09 Sept
Hong Kong U23
1 : 0
Guam U23
06 Sept
Hong Kong U23
0 : 2
United Arab Emirates U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Oman U23 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Afghanistan U23 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahrain U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Palestine U23 3 2 0 1 10:2 6
3 Bangladesh U23 3 1 0 2 2:2 3
4 Sri Lanka U23 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
2 Iran U23 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Turkmenistan U23 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
4 Yemen U23 3 0 1 2 0:8 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 1 0 10:2 7
2 Saudi Arabia U23 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
3 Lebanon U23 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
4 Maldives U23 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Syria U23 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 Kuwait U23 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
2 Tajikistan U23 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
3 India U23 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
4 Pakistan U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U23 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Singapore U23 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Hong Kong U23 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 2 1 0 16:3 7
2 Australia U23 3 2 1 0 14:2 7
3 Cambodia U23 3 0 1 2 2:13 1
4 Chinese Taipei U23 3 0 1 2 1:15 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 21:0 9
2 Myanmar U23 3 2 0 1 11:7 6
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 0 2 5:16 3
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 3:17 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 2 1 0 15:2 7
2 Malaysia U23 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Laos U23 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Philippines U23 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Thailand U23 3 2 0 1 12:4 6
3 Indonesia U23 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 1:16 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)