Palpites de Esportes

Stadium Background

Netherlands vs Malta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Championship 2026 Euroborg, Groningen
Nossa Dica

Eventos da Partida

9' Event
Depay M.
(Pênalti)
16' Event
Depay M.
Assist: Dumfries D.
20' Event
van Dijk V.
Assist: de Jong F.

Resumo do Jogo

The World Championship 2026 game between Netherlands and Malta finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Netherlands.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

31%
Netherlands
40%
Empates
29%
Malta
Projeção de empate: 40% Favorito: Draw

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

66% / Média de Confiança
  • Malta haven't matched Netherlands's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
  • Netherlands have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 99%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 88%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 70%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 32%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 71.4%
Netherlands Sem Sofrer Gols 20%
Malta Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Netherlands Malta
Partidas Jogadas 31 29
Vitórias 16 9
Empates 10 6
Derrotas 5 14
Gols Marcados 2.35 0.86
Gols Sofridos 1.16 1.76
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.56 1.19
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

9 de out. de 2025 World Championship
Malta vs Netherlands
0:4
10 de jun. de 2025 World Championship
Netherlands vs Malta
8:0
10 de out. de 1995 Euro
Malta vs Netherlands
0:4
28 de mar. de 1995 Euro
Netherlands vs Malta
4:0
13 de mar. de 1991 Euro
Netherlands vs Malta
1:0

Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave

Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols

Netherlands Comparar

Artilheiro Malen D.
2 Gols
Líder de Assistências Depay M.
1 Ast
Média xG / jogo 1.2
Média xA / jogo 0.78

Malta Comparar

Média xG / jogo 1.08
Média xA / jogo 0.66

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Netherlands 32 / 100
Malta 28 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Netherlands Malta

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Draw (X)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Attacking prowess: Netherlands scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Malta conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Netherlands has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tendências de Gols

Netherlands VS Malta
2 Gols Marcados 1.13
1.25 Gols Sofridos 1.13
88% Mais de 1.5 88%
75% Mais de 2.5 38%
38% Mais de 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands

(Home)
04 Oct
Netherlands
2 : 1
Serbia
01 Oct
Greece
2 : 2
Netherlands
27 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2
Netherlands
24 Sept
Netherlands
1 : 1
Germany
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2
Morocco
Page 1 of 7

Malta

(Away)
04 Oct
Malta
1 : 0
Andorra
01 Oct
Malta
1 : 1
Gibraltar
27 Sept
Malta
2 : 0
Liechtenstein
24 Sept
Andorra
1 : 2
Malta
05 Jun
Azerbaijan
0 : 2
Malta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)