Palpites de Esportes

Stadium Background

Netherlands vs Poland

World World

World Championship 2026 De Kuip, Rotterdam
Nossa Dica

Eventos da Partida

28' Event
Dumfries D.
Assist: Depay M.
64'
Sub
Lewandowski R. Entra: Swiderski K.
Sai: Lewandowski R.
71'
Sub
Szymanski S. Entra: Grosicki K.
Sai: Szymanski S.

Resumo do Jogo

The World Championship 2026 game between Netherlands and Poland finished 1-1.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

80%
Netherlands
11%
Empates
9%
Poland
Projeção de empate: 11% Favorito: Netherlands

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

93% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Netherlands carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Netherlands a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 99%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 88%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 38%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 17%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 39.6%
Netherlands Sem Sofrer Gols 68%
Poland Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Netherlands Poland
Partidas Jogadas 30 30
Vitórias 15 14
Empates 9 7
Derrotas 6 9
Gols Marcados 2.37 1.67
Gols Sofridos 1.13 1.4
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.75 1.19
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

14 de nov. de 2025 World Championship
Poland vs Netherlands
1:1
4 de set. de 2025 World Championship
Netherlands vs Poland
1:1
16 de jun. de 2024 Euro
Poland vs Netherlands
1:2
22 de set. de 2022 UEFA Nations League
Poland vs Netherlands
0:2
11 de jun. de 2022 UEFA Nations League
Netherlands vs Poland
2:2

Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave

Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols

Netherlands Comparar

Artilheiro Dumfries D.
1 Gols
Média xG / jogo 1.35
Média xA / jogo 0.88

Poland Comparar

Artilheiro Cash M.
1 Gols
Média xG / jogo 1.08
Média xA / jogo 0.66

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Netherlands 86 / 100
Poland 10 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Netherlands Poland

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Netherlands Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
Resultado BTTS No (NG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Netherlands's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Poland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Netherlands remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Tendências de Gols

Netherlands VS Poland
2.25 Gols Marcados 1.75
0.63 Gols Sofridos 1.25
88% Mais de 1.5 88%
63% Mais de 2.5 50%
38% Mais de 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands

(Home)
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2
Morocco
25 Jun
Tunisia
1 : 3
Netherlands
20 Jun
Netherlands
5 : 1
Sweden
14 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 2
Japan
08 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 1
Uzbekistan
Page 1 of 6

Poland

(Away)
03 Jun
Poland
2 : 2
Nigeria
31 May
Poland
0 : 2
Ukraine
31 Mar
Sweden
3 : 2
Poland
26 Mar
Poland
2 : 1
Albania
17 Nov
Malta
2 : 3
Poland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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