Palpites de Esportes

Stadium Background

Netherlands vs Sweden

World World

World Championship 2026 NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Nossa Dica

Eventos da Partida

5' Event
Brobbey B.
Assist: Gakpo C.
17' Event
Brobbey B.
Assist: Dumfries D.
46'
Sub
Malen D. Entra: Summerville C.
Sai: Malen D.

Resumo do Jogo

The World Championship 2026 game between Netherlands and Sweden finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Netherlands.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

90%
Netherlands
6%
Empates
4%
Sweden
Projeção de empate: 6% Favorito: Netherlands

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

95% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Sweden haven't matched Netherlands's recent run of results.
  • Netherlands are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 99%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 88%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 56.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 25%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 77%
Netherlands Sem Sofrer Gols 16%
Sweden Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Netherlands Sweden
Partidas Jogadas 30 30
Vitórias 15 14
Empates 9 5
Derrotas 6 11
Gols Marcados 2.37 1.93
Gols Sofridos 1.13 1.67
Gols Esperados (xG) 2.00 1.50
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

20 de jun. de 2026 World Championship
Netherlands vs Sweden
5:1
10 de out. de 2017 World Championship
Netherlands vs Sweden
2:0
6 de set. de 2016 World Championship
Sweden vs Netherlands
1:1
11 de out. de 2011 Euro
Sweden vs Netherlands
3:2
12 de out. de 2010 Euro
Netherlands vs Sweden
4:1

Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave

Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols

Netherlands Comparar

Artilheiro Brobbey B.
2 Gols
Líder de Assistências Gakpo C.
2 Ast
Média xG / jogo 1.54
Média xA / jogo 1

Sweden Comparar

Artilheiro Elanga A.
1 Gols
Média xG / jogo 1.36
Média xA / jogo 0.83

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Netherlands 84 / 100
Sweden 10 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Netherlands Sweden

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Netherlands Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Attacking prowess: Netherlands scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Sweden let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Netherlands stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

Netherlands VS Sweden
2.13 Gols Marcados 2
1 Gols Sofridos 1.88
88% Mais de 1.5 88%
63% Mais de 2.5 75%
38% Mais de 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands

(Home)
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2
Morocco
25 Jun
Tunisia
1 : 3
Netherlands
20 Jun
Netherlands
5 : 1
Sweden
14 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 2
Japan
08 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 1
Uzbekistan
Page 1 of 6

Sweden

(Away)
30 Jun
France
3 : 0
Sweden
25 Jun
Japan
1 : 1
Sweden
20 Jun
Netherlands
5 : 1
Sweden
15 Jun
Sweden
5 : 1
Tunisia
04 Jun
Sweden
2 : 2
Greece
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 8:3 4
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 2:10 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
4 Turkey 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Curacao 3 0 1 2 1:9 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 10:4 7
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 7:3 5
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 7:7 4
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 4:10 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Cape Verde 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 1:5 2
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 8:7 6
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 8:6 3
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 5:7 4
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 6:1 5
3 D.R. Congo 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams