Palpites de Esportes

Stadium Background

Northampton vs Brighton U21

Inglaterra Inglaterra

EFL Trophy Sixfields Stadium, Northampton
Northampton Logo

Northampton

0 - 3
FT
Brighton U21 Logo

Brighton U21

Nossa Dica

Eventos da Partida

8' Event
Tasker C.
Assist: Oriola N.
15' Event
Doyle K.
22'
O'Mahony M.
Resumo Prob Vitória Gols Forma H2H Tática Jogadores Índices Previsões Linha de Tempo Precisão Comparar

Resumo do Jogo

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

13%
Northampton
17%
Empates
70%
Brighton U21
Projeção de empate: 17% Favorito: Brighton U21

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

88% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Northampton haven't matched Brighton U21's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Brighton U21 taking it.
  • Brighton U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Brighton U21, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 31.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 14%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 71%
Northampton Sem Sofrer Gols 10%
Brighton U21 Sem Sofrer Gols 15%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Northampton Brighton U21
Partidas Jogadas 31 31
Vitórias 5 12
Empates 6 6
Derrotas 20 13
Gols Marcados 0.9 1.52
Gols Sofridos 1.77 1.29
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.00 1.94
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

18 de ago. de 2026 EFL Trophy
Northampton vs Brighton U21
0:3
2 de nov. de 2021 EFL Trophy
Northampton vs Brighton U21
1:2

Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave

Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols

Northampton Comparar

Média xG / jogo 0.77
Média xA / jogo 0.5

Brighton U21 Comparar

Artilheiro Tasker C.
1 Gols
Líder de Assistências Doyle K.
1 Ast
Média xG / jogo 1.76
Média xA / jogo 1.08

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Northampton 14 / 100
Brighton U21 66 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Northampton Brighton U21

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Brighton U21 Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Brighton U21 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Northampton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Northampton's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Tendências de Gols

Northampton VS Brighton U21
1.25 Gols Marcados 2
1.88 Gols Sofridos 0.75
63% Mais de 1.5 88%
63% Mais de 2.5 75%
50% Mais de 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Northampton

(Home)
18 Aug
Northampton
0 : 3
Brighton U21
15 Aug
Northampton
0 : 0
Swindon
08 Aug
Leicester
1 : 0
Northampton
01 Aug
Solihull Moors
2 : 4
Northampton
28 Jul
Cambridge Utd
0 : 0
Northampton
Page 1 of 7

Brighton U21

(Away)
21 Aug
Aston Villa U21
2 : 1
Brighton U21
18 Aug
Northampton
0 : 3
Brighton U21
14 Aug
Brighton U21
2 : 0
Millwall U21
28 Jul
Worthing FC
2 : 1
Brighton U21
16 May
Brighton U21
1 : 0
Manchester United U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Accrington 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Salford 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Sunderland U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Blackpool 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Crewe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Aston Villa U21 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Rotherham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 York City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Newcastle Utd U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U21 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Port Vale 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Chesterfield 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mansfield 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 1 1 0 0 6:3 3
2 Tranmere 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Shrewsbury 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 3:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grimsby 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Notts County 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Burton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Nottingham U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnsley 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Oldham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Fleetwood Town 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Leeds U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rochdale 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Doncaster 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Huddersfield 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Liverpool U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cheltenham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Exeter 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Oxford Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tottenham U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leicester 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Walsall 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Stevenage 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Fulham U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reading 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
2 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
3 Bristol Rovers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Chelsea U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Luton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Peterborough 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Ipswich U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Swindon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Newport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Crystal Palace U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
2 Leyton Orient 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
3 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
4 Arsenal U21 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Gillingham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Cambridge Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Northampton 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Crawley Town 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Bromley 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Brentford U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)