Palpites de Esportes

Stadium Background

Norway vs Italy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Championship 2026 Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo
Nossa Dica

Eventos da Partida

14' Event
Sorloth A.
Assist: Nusa A.
34' Event
Nusa A.
38'
Thorsby M.

Resumo do Jogo

Norway in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Norway.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

18%
Norway
22%
Empates
60%
Italy
Projeção de empate: 22% Favorito: Italy

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

82% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Norway have won more games recently than Italy.
  • Win probability leans Italy's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 39.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 18%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 75.4%
Norway Sem Sofrer Gols 16%
Italy Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Norway Italy
Partidas Jogadas 31 30
Vitórias 19 17
Empates 4 5
Derrotas 8 8
Gols Marcados 2.55 1.83
Gols Sofridos 1.26 1.23
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.50 1.48
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

16 de nov. de 2025 World Championship
Italy vs Norway
1:4
6 de jun. de 2025 World Championship
Norway vs Italy
3:0
13 de out. de 2015 Euro
Italy vs Norway
2:1
9 de set. de 2014 Euro
Norway vs Italy
0:2
4 de jun. de 2005 World Championship
Norway vs Italy
0:0

Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave

Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols

Norway Comparar

Artilheiro Sorloth A.
1 Gols
Líder de Assistências Nusa A.
1 Ast
Média xG / jogo 1.15
Média xA / jogo 0.75

Italy Comparar

Média xG / jogo 1.35
Média xA / jogo 0.82

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Norway 19 / 100
Italy 56 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Norway Italy

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Italy Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Norway scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Italy conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Norway remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Tendências de Gols

Norway VS Italy
2 Gols Marcados 1.57
1.38 Gols Sofridos 1
88% Mais de 1.5 71%
75% Mais de 2.5 43%
50% Mais de 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Norway

(Home)
04 Oct
Portugal
2 : 1
Norway
01 Oct
Wales
2 : 1
Norway
27 Sept
Norway
1 : 2
Portugal
24 Sept
Norway
3 : 2
Denmark
11 Jul
Norway
1 : 2
England
Page 1 of 7

Italy

(Away)
05 Oct
Italy
3 : 1
Turkey
02 Oct
France
1 : 1
Italy
28 Sept
Turkey
1 : 4
Italy
25 Sept
Italy
0 : 2
Belgium
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1
Italy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)