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Notts County U23 vs Southampton U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Inglaterra Inglaterra

Premier League Cup 2018/2019 Meadow Lane, Nottingham
Nossa Dica

Eventos da Partida

23' Event
Hamblin H.
29' Event
Johnson T.
32' Event
Smallbone W.

Resumo do Jogo

Southampton U23 in this Premier League Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 0-7. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

4%
Notts County U23
6%
Empates
90%
Southampton U23
Projeção de empate: 6% Favorito: Southampton U23

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

95% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Southampton U23 have won more games recently than Notts County U23.
  • Model gives Southampton U23 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Southampton U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Southampton U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 80%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 80%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 69%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 31%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 73%
Notts County U23 Sem Sofrer Gols 10%
Southampton U23 Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Notts County U23 Southampton U23
Partidas Jogadas 8 32
Vitórias 1 14
Empates 2 4
Derrotas 5 14
Gols Marcados 1.88 1.97
Gols Sofridos 3.38 1.78
Gols Esperados (xG) 2.38 2.19
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

22 de fev. de 2019 Premier League Cup
Southampton U23 vs Notts County U23
6:2
28 de nov. de 2018 Premier League Cup
Notts County U23 vs Southampton U23
0:7

Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave

Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols

Notts County U23 Comparar

Média xG / jogo 1.83
Média xA / jogo 1.19

Southampton U23 Comparar

Artilheiro Johnson T.
3 Gols
Líder de Assistências Smallbone W.
3 Ast
Média xG / jogo 1.99
Média xA / jogo 1.22

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Notts County U23 10 / 100
Southampton U23 83 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Notts County U23 Southampton U23

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Southampton U23 Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Historical meetings average 7.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Notts County U23 scored in 75% of their last 8 outings.

Defensive concern: Southampton U23 conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Southampton U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tendências de Gols

Notts County U23 VS Southampton U23
3 Gols Marcados 1.38
3 Gols Sofridos 1.75
100% Mais de 1.5 63%
100% Mais de 2.5 63%
100% Mais de 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Notts County U23

(Home)
01 Aug
Loughborough Dynamo
3 : 3
Notts County U23
22 Feb
Southampton U23
6 : 2
Notts County U23
15 Feb
Leeds U23
2 : 1
Notts County U23
22 Jan
Notts County U23
2 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
28 Nov
Notts County U23
0 : 7
Southampton U23
Page 1 of 2

Southampton U23

(Away)
25 Jul
FC Andorra
2 : 0
Southampton U23
13 Jul
FC Cartagena SAD
2 : 0
Southampton U23
01 May
Southampton U23
1 : 0
Sunderland U23
25 Apr
Newcastle Utd U23
2 : 4
Southampton U23
02 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Southampton U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stoke City U23 6 4 1 1 17:8 13
2 Sunderland U23 6 4 0 2 18:13 12
3 Peterborough U23 6 2 0 4 11:18 6
4 Charlton U23 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Everton U23 6 4 2 0 11:5 14
2 Blackburn U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
4 Doncaster U23 6 0 1 5 6:20 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley U23 6 2 3 1 9:12 9
2 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 13:10 8
3 Liverpool U23 6 1 4 1 5:4 7
4 West Brom U23 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U23 6 5 1 0 17:6 16
2 Leicester U23 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
3 Exeter U23 6 1 3 2 7:11 6
4 Norwich U23 6 0 3 3 5:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea U23 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
3 Oxford Utd U23 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
4 Hull City U23 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 4 1 1 18:4 13
2 Aston Villa U23 6 4 0 2 15:6 12
3 Plymouth U23 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
4 Bristol City U23 6 0 2 4 4:25 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reading U23 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Fulham U23 6 4 0 2 16:5 12
3 Birmingham U23 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
4 Colchester U23 6 0 0 6 3:24 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leeds U23 6 4 0 2 14:8 12
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 2 1 11:7 11
3 Southampton U23 6 3 1 2 18:10 10
4 Notts County U23 6 0 1 5 6:24 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)