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Oxford Utd vs Cheltenham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Inglaterra Inglaterra

EFL Trophy Kassam Stadium, Oxford
ter., 10 de nov. de 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

A one-off knockout match in the EFL Trophy. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Oxford Utd at 1.7 goals for, 1.15 against; Cheltenham at 1.63 for, 1.89 against. Head-to-head, Oxford Utd have won 3 to Cheltenham's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on 9 de mar. de 2024, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.25) point toward Oxford Utd. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

60%
Oxford Utd
22%
Empates
18%
Cheltenham
Projeção de empate: 22% Favorito: Oxford Utd

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

82% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Look at the last few games and Oxford Utd come out ahead of Cheltenham on wins alone.
  • Oxford Utd are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Oxford Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Oxford Utd, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 98%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 87.5%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 31.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 14%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 77.4%
Oxford Utd Sem Sofrer Gols 19%
Cheltenham Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Oxford Utd Cheltenham
Partidas Jogadas 27 27
Vitórias 14 11
Empates 6 5
Derrotas 7 11
Gols Marcados 1.7 1.63
Gols Sofridos 1.15 1.89
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.63 1.25
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

9 de mar. de 2024 League One
Oxford Utd vs Cheltenham
2:1
25 de nov. de 2023 League One
Cheltenham vs Oxford Utd
2:0
25 de abr. de 2023 League One
Oxford Utd vs Cheltenham
4:0
27 de ago. de 2022 League One
Cheltenham vs Oxford Utd
1:2
1 de jan. de 2022 League One
Oxford Utd vs Cheltenham
1:1

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Oxford Utd 58 / 100
Cheltenham 18 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Oxford Utd Cheltenham

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Oxford Utd Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Oxford Utd found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Cheltenham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Oxford Utd remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Tendências de Gols

Oxford Utd VS Cheltenham
1.38 Gols Marcados 1.63
0.88 Gols Sofridos 1.88
75% Mais de 1.5 100%
50% Mais de 2.5 63%
13% Mais de 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Oxford Utd

(Home)
20 Oct
Oxford Utd
2 : 1
Wigan
15 Oct
Mansfield
1 : 1
Oxford Utd
10 Oct
Notts County
1 : 2
Oxford Utd
06 Oct
Exeter
3 : 2
Oxford Utd
19 Sept
Oxford Utd
1 : 1
Cambridge Utd
Page 1 of 6

Cheltenham

(Away)
20 Oct
Cheltenham
4 : 2
Fleetwood Town
17 Oct
Oldham
4 : 1
Cheltenham
13 Oct
Cheltenham
3 : 2
Tottenham U21
10 Oct
Cheltenham
0 : 2
Salford
03 Oct
Accrington
2 : 0
Cheltenham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Accrington 2 2 0 0 4:4 4
3 Salford 2 0 0 2 2:3 1
4 Sunderland U21 2 0 0 2 3:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
2 Crewe 2 1 0 1 6:3 4
3 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 4:5 2
4 Aston Villa U21 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Newcastle Utd U21 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Rotherham 2 1 0 1 1:5 2
4 York City 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chesterfield 2 2 0 0 6:4 5
2 Port Vale 2 1 0 1 3:1 4
3 Manchester City U21 2 1 0 1 7:6 3
4 Mansfield 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 2 2 0 0 8:3 6
2 Tranmere 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 3:6 0
4 Shrewsbury 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Notts County 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Burton 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
3 Nottingham U21 2 1 0 1 2:6 2
4 Grimsby 2 0 0 2 1:2 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oldham 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Fleetwood Town 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
3 Leeds U21 2 1 0 1 6:7 3
4 Barnsley 2 0 0 2 4:8 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Doncaster 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Liverpool U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
4 Rochdale 2 0 0 2 3:8 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Cheltenham 2 2 0 0 4:4 4
3 Oxford Utd 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
4 Tottenham U21 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stevenage 2 2 0 0 8:2 6
2 Leicester 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
3 Walsall 2 1 0 1 4:8 3
4 Fulham U21 2 0 0 2 3:9 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
2 Chelsea U21 3 2 0 1 5:4 5
3 Reading 2 1 0 1 1:3 2
4 Bristol Rovers 2 0 0 2 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Luton 2 2 0 0 7:1 5
3 Colchester 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
4 Ipswich U21 2 0 0 2 1:10 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 2 2 0 0 7:3 5
2 Newport 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Crystal Palace U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
4 Swindon 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 2 2 0 0 5:1 5
2 Arsenal U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
3 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 0 2 1:1 2
4 Leyton Orient 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambridge Utd 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Brighton U21 2 1 0 1 6:4 3
3 Gillingham 2 1 0 1 5:7 3
4 Northampton 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 2 2 0 0 11:2 6
2 Crawley Town 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
3 Brentford U21 2 1 0 1 2:7 3
4 Bromley 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)