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Stadium Background

Pogon Siedlce vs GKS Jastrzebie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Polish Cup Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce
qua., 5 de ago. de 2026
3 - 0
04:00 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Pogon Siedlce are expected to control this from the start. GKS Jastrzebie have shipped 2.69 goals a game lately, while Pogon Siedlce have conceded 1.46 and scored 1.08. Head-to-head, Pogon Siedlce have won 1 to GKS Jastrzebie's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on 5 de ago. de 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.31, favoring Pogon Siedlce. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

90%
Pogon Siedlce
6%
Empates
4%
GKS Jastrzebie
Projeção de empate: 6% Favorito: Pogon Siedlce

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

95% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Pogon Siedlce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pogon Siedlce's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Pogon Siedlce have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor GKS Jastrzebie, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 98%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 87.5%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 12.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 6%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 67.8%
Pogon Siedlce Sem Sofrer Gols 18%
GKS Jastrzebie Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Pogon Siedlce GKS Jastrzebie
Partidas Jogadas 26 29
Vitórias 9 1
Empates 4 5
Derrotas 13 23
Gols Marcados 1.08 0.59
Gols Sofridos 1.46 2.69
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.94 1.31
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

5 de ago. de 2026 Polish Cup
Pogon Siedlce vs GKS Jastrzebie
3:0
13 de mai. de 2024 Division 2
Pogon Siedlce vs GKS Jastrzebie
3:4
29 de out. de 2023 Division 2
GKS Jastrzebie vs Pogon Siedlce
2:1
1 de abr. de 2023 Division 2
Pogon Siedlce vs GKS Jastrzebie
1:1
26 de ago. de 2022 Division 2
GKS Jastrzebie vs Pogon Siedlce
3:1

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Pogon Siedlce 85 / 100
GKS Jastrzebie 10 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Pogon Siedlce GKS Jastrzebie

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Pogon Siedlce Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Defensive concern: GKS Jastrzebie conceded in 100% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Away concern: GKS Jastrzebie has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Pogon Siedlce found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (26 games).

Tendências de Gols

Pogon Siedlce VS GKS Jastrzebie
0.88 Gols Marcados 0
1.63 Gols Sofridos 3
75% Mais de 1.5 100%
63% Mais de 2.5 100%
25% Mais de 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Siedlce

(Home)
09 Oct
Podbeskidzie
1 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1
Arka Gdynia
12 Sept
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
01 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 3
Pogon Siedlce
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0
Stal Mielec
Page 1 of 6

GKS Jastrzebie

(Away)
05 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
3 : 0
GKS Jastrzebie
30 May
GKS Jastrzebie
0 : 3
Slask Wroclaw II
23 May
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 0
GKS Jastrzebie
16 May
GKS Jastrzebie
0 : 3
Rekord Bielsko-Biala
09 May
Podbeskidzie
3 : 0
GKS Jastrzebie
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Legnica -
TBD -
TBD -
Chrobry Glogow -
Widzew Lodz II -
TBD -
TBD -
Polonia Bytom -
Siarka Tarnobrzeg -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaglebie -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sokol Ostroda -
TBD -
Unia Skierniewice 2
Kleczew 3
Podhale Nowy Targ 2
Chojniczanka 0
TBD -
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki -
Avia Swidnik -
TBD -
TBD -
KS Wieczysta Krakow -
Korona Kielce II -
TBD -
TBD -
Radomiak Radom -
Warta Poznan 0
R. Rzeszow 1
TBD -
Arka Gdynia -
S. Rzeszow -
TBD -
Podbeskidzie 2
Hutnik Krakow 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -
TBD -
Sandecja Nowy S. 3
Rekord Bielsko-Biala 0
Beskid Andrychow -
TBD -
Slask Wroclaw II 3
Stal Stalowa Wola 2
Motor Lublin -
TBD -
TBD -
Legia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Kluczbork -
TBD -
TBD -
Lechia Gdansk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Polkowice -
TBD -
TBD -
Polonia Warszawa -
Widzew Lodz -
TBD -
TBD -
Korona Kielce -
Plock II -
TBD -
TBD -
Puszcza -
Luzino -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla Plock -
Pruszkow 3
LKS Lodz II 1
TBD -
Cracovia -
Zielona Gora -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruch Chorzow -
Gornik Zabrze II -
TBD -
Ol. Grudziadz 5
Swit Szczecin 3
Suwalki -
TBD -
TBD -
Termalica Bruk-Bet -
Chemik Bydgoszcz -
TBD -
TBD -
Piast Gliwice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla -
Slask Wroclaw -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogon Szczecin -
Leczna 2
KKS Kalisz 0
TBD -
Stal Mielec -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy 1
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0
TBD -
LKS Lodz -
Kluczevia Stargard -
TBD -
Pogon Siedlce 3
GKS Jastrzebie 0
1/32-finals
Legnica 0
Chrobry Glogow 1
Widzew Lodz II 1
Polonia Bytom 2
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3
Zaglebie 2
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sokol Ostroda 1
Kleczew 2
Podhale Nowy Targ 3
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1
Avia Swidnik 3
KS Wieczysta Krakow 1
Korona Kielce II 0
Radomiak Radom 1
R. Rzeszow 0
Arka Gdynia 4
S. Rzeszow 3
Podbeskidzie 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 3
Sandecja Nowy S. 2
Beskid Andrychow 1
Slask Wroclaw II 3
Motor Lublin 3
Legia 0
TBD -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Kluczbork 1
Lechia Gdansk 2
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Polkowice 0
Polonia Warszawa 1
Widzew Lodz 0
Korona Kielce 1
Plock II 0
Puszcza 2
Luzino 2
Wisla Plock 3
Pruszkow 2
Cracovia 1
Zielona Gora 0
Ruch Chorzow 2
Gornik Zabrze II 3
Ol. Grudziadz 4
Suwalki 1
Termalica Bruk-Bet 5
Chemik Bydgoszcz 0
Piast Gliwice 3
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole 2
Wisla 1
Slask Wroclaw 2
Pogon Szczecin 1
Leczna 4
Stal Mielec 3
TBD -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy 1
LKS Lodz 0
Kluczevia Stargard 2
Pogon Siedlce 3
1/16-finals
Chrobry Glogow -
Polonia Bytom -
Siarka Tarnobrzeg -
Lech Poznan -
Kleczew -
Podhale Nowy Targ -
Avia Swidnik -
Radomiak Radom -
Arka Gdynia -
S. Rzeszow -
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -
Slask Wroclaw II -
Motor Lublin -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Lechia Gdansk -
Jagiellonia -
Polonia Warszawa -
Korona Kielce -
Puszcza -
Wisla Plock -
Pruszkow -
Ruch Chorzow -
Ol. Grudziadz -
Termalica Bruk-Bet -
Piast Gliwice -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole -
Slask Wroclaw -
Leczna -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy -
Pogon Siedlce -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -