Palpites de Esportes
Porthmadog vs Denbigh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FAW Welsh Cup 2025/2026 
Resumo do Jogo
This match ends 3-2, with Porthmadog advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Probabilidade de Vitória
Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente
80%
11%
9%
Projeção de empate: 11% Favorito: Porthmadog
Confiança do Modelo
Pontuação indicadora agregada
93%
/ Muito Alta de Confiança
- Look at the last few games and Porthmadog come out ahead of Denbigh on wins alone.
- Model gives Porthmadog a 80% chance of winning this.
- Porthmadog have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Porthmadog, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Porthmadog have taken 4 of them.
Probabilidade de Gols
Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG
Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 50.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 23%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 76.2%
Porthmadog Sem Sofrer Gols 16%
Denbigh Sem Sofrer Gols 10%
Análise de Forma Recente
Médias por partida nos jogos históricos
| Métrica | Porthmadog | Denbigh |
|---|---|---|
| Partidas Jogadas | 29 | 31 |
| Vitórias | 14 | 11 |
| Empates | 4 | 2 |
| Derrotas | 11 | 18 |
| Gols Marcados | 1.93 | 1.55 |
| Gols Sofridos | 1.76 | 2.06 |
| Gols Esperados (xG) | 2.00 | 1.44 |
| Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados
21 de ago. de 2026 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Porthmadog
2:3
24 de set. de 2025 FAW Welsh Cup
Porthmadog vs Denbigh
3:2
2 de fev. de 2024 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Porthmadog
3:1
30 de set. de 2023 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Denbigh
2:1
23 de fev. de 2019 Cymru Alliance
Denbigh vs Porthmadog
0:3
Índice de Momentum SokaPicks
Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente
Porthmadog 75 / 100
Denbigh 10 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).
Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa
Porthmadog Denbigh
Previsão do Mecanismo
Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas
Escolha Principal Porthmadog Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5
Insights Inteligentes
Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados
Attacking prowess: Porthmadog scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Denbigh let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Porthmadog went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Tendências de Gols
Porthmadog VS Denbigh
1.63 Gols Marcados 1.63
1.25 Gols Sofridos 2.38
75% Mais de 1.5 88%
63% Mais de 2.5 75%
38% Mais de 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Porthmadog
(Home) 03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0 Bangor 1876
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1 Porthmadog
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0 Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2 Bala
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2 Porthmadog
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0 Bangor 1876
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0 Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2 Bala
28 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 3 Caersws FC
08 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 0 Rhyl
Page 1 of 4
Denbigh
(Away) 02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4 Holyhead
26 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0 Denbigh
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2 Bala
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0 Denbigh
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3 Rhyl
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0 Denbigh
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0 Denbigh
28 Aug
Penrhyncoch
2 : 2 Denbigh
14 Aug
Ruthin Town
2 : 1 Denbigh
01 Aug
Buckley
2 : 4 Denbigh
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Porthmadog 3
Denbigh 2
TBD -
Buckley -
Port Talbot 2
Seven Sisters 1
Afan Lido 3
Evans Williams 2
Pwllheli 1
Rhyl 3
Brickfield Rangers 3
NFA 1
Llantwit Major 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Cwmbran Town 5
Ynyshir Albions 4
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Barry Town -
Caerphilly 1
Caldicot 3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 7
Pentwynmawr Ath 0
Saltney Town 3
Gresford 7
Llanrug 4
Ruthin Town 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Taffs Well 2
Abertillery Excelsiors 1
Mold Alexandra -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llannefydd 5
Llanberis FC 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Sychdyn Utd 0
Llwydcoed 3
Lliswerry 1
Pill -
Treowen -
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Rhayader 1
Cefn Cribwr 4
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Llanfair United 1
Kinmel Bay 2
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Goytre Utd 2
Ammanford Town 1
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Bow Street 4
Cefn Albion 2
TBD -
Flint Town -
Holyhead 4
Forden Utd 0
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Cwmbach Royal Stars 3
Garden Village 4
Tredegar Town 1
Glynneath Town 3
Broughton Utd 2
Welshpool 1
Berriew FC 0
Trearddur Bay 3
Newport City -
TBD -
Penygraig Utd 3
Cwm Welfare 2
Blaenavon Blues 4
Canton 1
Pontyclun FC 4
Tata Steel 1
St. Asaph 0
Bangor 1876 6
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Holywell Town FC -
TBD -
Rhostyllen 5
Nefyn United 2
Dinas Powys 3
Afan United 1
Cardiff Draconians 4
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Abercarn United 1
Pure Swansea 2
TBD -
Trefelin -
Caersws FC 6
Hawarden Rangers 1
Dolgellau Athletic 8
Queens Park 3
Penydarren 0
Caerau Ely 5
Morriston Town 1
Clydach 0
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Mountain -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
1/32-finals
Porthmadog 1
Buckley 0
Port Talbot 3
Afan Lido 1
Rhyl 1
Brickfield Rangers 0
Llantwit Major 1
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 3
Haverfordwest 0
Aberystwyth 0
Barry Town 5
Caldicot 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 2
Gresford 9
Llanrug 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 5
Taffs Well 1
Mold Alexandra 1
TNS 2
Newtown 0
Caernarfon 3
Llannefydd 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Llwydcoed 2
Treowen 5
Pontypridd United 3
Cefn Cribwr 1
Carmarthen Town 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Kinmel Bay 0
Colwyn Bay 5
Goytre Utd 0
Cambrian United 6
Briton Ferry 0
Penybont 5
Bow Street 0
Flint Town 3
Holyhead 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 5
Garden Village 2
Glynneath Town 4
Broughton Utd 0
Trearddur Bay 6
Newport City 3
Penygraig Utd 1
Blaenavon Blues 4
Pontyclun FC 2
Bangor 1876 2
Guilsfield 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Rhostyllen 2
Dinas Powys 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Pure Swansea 1
Trefelin 6
Caersws FC 0
Dolgellau Athletic 1
Caerau Ely 3
Morriston Town 0
Llandudno FC 3
Flint Mountain 0
Bala 0
Connahs Q. 3
1/16-finals
Porthmadog 3
Port Talbot 2
Rhyl 3
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 0
Barry Town 6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 0
Gresford 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
TNS 1
Caernarfon 4
Penrhyncoch 0
Treowen 1
Pontypridd United 2
Carmarthen Town 1
Colwyn Bay 3
Cambrian United 1
Penybont 3
Flint Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Glynneath Town 2
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Blaenavon Blues 2
Bangor 1876 2
Holywell Town FC 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Trefelin 4
Dolgellau Athletic 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 2
Connahs Q. 1
1/8-finals
Porthmadog 1
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 4
Gresford 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Caernarfon 4
Pontypridd United 0
Colwyn Bay 3
Penybont 0
Flint Town 1
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Bangor 1876 2
Trefelin 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 1
Quarter-finals
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 1
Caernarfon 4
Colwyn Bay 1
Flint Town 3
Trearddur Bay 0
Bangor 1876 3
Caerau Ely 1
Semi-finals
Rhyl 1
Caernarfon 2
Flint Town 5
Bangor 1876 1
Final
Caernarfon 3
Flint Town 0
