Palpites de Esportes
Resumo do Jogo
This Euro U17 Women 2026 encounter between Portugal U17 W and Spain U17 W promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Portugal U17 W averages 2.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded in recent matches. Spain U17 W shows a form average of 2.7 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Both teams have demonstrated potent attacking threats recently, hinting at a potentially open and high-scoring contest. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Portugal U17 W, 4 wins for Spain U17 W, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 07.03.26 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.00 for Portugal U17 W and 2.38 for Spain U17 W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Spain U17 W double chance or over markets.
Probabilidade de Vitória
Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente
Confiança do Modelo
Pontuação indicadora agregada
- Portugal U17 W conquistou mais pontos recentemente do que Spain U17 W.
- Modelo prevê maior perigo de gol para o mandante (1.00 vs 2.38 xG).
- Confrontos passados mostram padrão claro a favor do visitante.
- Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 59%).
Probabilidade de Gols
Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG
Análise de Forma Recente
Médias por partida nos jogos históricos
| Métrica | Portugal U17 W | Spain U17 W |
|---|---|---|
| Partidas Jogadas | 27 | 32 |
| Vitórias | 16 | 22 |
| Empates | 3 | 5 |
| Derrotas | 8 | 5 |
| Gols Marcados | 2.11 | 2.69 |
| Gols Sofridos | 1.26 | 0.63 |
| Gols Esperados (xG) | 1.63 | 4.13 |
| Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) | 0.63 | 0.38 |
H2H
Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados
Perfil Tático do Confronto
Posições de Campo e Estilo de Controle
Portugal U17 W
Spain U17 W
Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave
Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols
Portugal U17 W Comparar
Spain U17 W Comparar
Alertas de Escalação
Índice de Momentum Sokapicks
Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente
Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa
Previsão do Mecanismo
Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas
Detetor de Value Bet (+EV)
Onde a probabilidade do modelo supera a das casas
Linha do Tempo do Jogo
Projeções de dominância e pressão em blocos de 15 min
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Mapas de Calor e Chutes
Sobreposições térmicas calculadas por entradas de zona
Insights Inteligentes
Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados
Portugal U17 W have found the net in 85% of their last 27 matches.
Spain U17 W have conceded at least one goal in 50% of their last 32 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.
Portugal U17 W remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Spain U17 W suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Análise de Risco
Avaliando possíveis imprevistos e variáveis externas
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Continental tournament fixture. Elite European competition dynamics apply, with massive stakes for both clubs.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Comparador de Equipes
Comparação lado a lado das métricas
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain U17 W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Portugal U17 W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Hungary U17 W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Bulgaria U17 W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:16 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France U17 W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Germany U17 W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ireland U17 W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Belgium U17 W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:9 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands U17 W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Czech Republic U17 W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 3 | Slovakia U17 W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Andorra U17 W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:10 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England U17 W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Poland U17 W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Scotland U17 W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 4 | Montenegro U17 W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:14 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Finland U17 W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Italy U17 W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Croatia U17 W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 4 | North Macedonia U17 W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:12 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland U17 W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Austria U17 W | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 5 |
| 3 | Romania U17 W | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 4 | Ukraine U17 W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denmark U17 W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway U17 W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 4 |
| 3 | Serbia U17 W | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:7 | 2 |
| 4 | Belarus U17 W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:12 | 1 |