Palpites de Esportes
Resumo do Jogo
Porthmadog in this FA Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Probabilidade de Vitória
Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente
4%
6%
90%
Projeção de empate: 6% Favorito: Porthmadog
Confiança do Modelo
Pontuação indicadora agregada
95%
/ Muito Alta de Confiança
- Form's been kind to Porthmadog lately — more wins on the board than Queens Park.
- Porthmadog are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Porthmadog arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Porthmadog, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 81%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Porthmadog have taken 3 of them.
Probabilidade de Gols
Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG
Mais de 0.5 Gols 99%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 94%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 81%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 69%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 31%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 74.2%
Queens Park Sem Sofrer Gols 10%
Porthmadog Sem Sofrer Gols 10%
Análise de Forma Recente
Médias por partida nos jogos históricos
| Métrica | Queens Park | Porthmadog |
|---|---|---|
| Partidas Jogadas | 30 | 29 |
| Vitórias | 3 | 10 |
| Empates | 2 | 3 |
| Derrotas | 25 | 16 |
| Gols Marcados | 0.8 | 1.83 |
| Gols Sofridos | 4 | 2.1 |
| Gols Esperados (xG) | 2.31 | 4.00 |
| Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados
21 de set. de 2024 FA Cup
Queens Park vs Porthmadog
1:6
28 de abr. de 2018 Cymru Alliance
Queens Park vs Porthmadog
0:6
28 de out. de 2017 Cymru Alliance
Porthmadog vs Queens Park
9:2
Índice de Momentum SokaPicks
Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente
Queens Park 10 / 100
Porthmadog 83 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).
Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa
Queens Park Porthmadog
Previsão do Mecanismo
Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas
Escolha Principal Porthmadog Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5
Insights Inteligentes
Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados
Porthmadog has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.
Queens Park's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Queens Park went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Tendências de Gols
Queens Park VS Porthmadog
2 Gols Marcados 1
7 Gols Sofridos 2.63
100% Mais de 1.5 88%
100% Mais de 2.5 63%
100% Mais de 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Queens Park
(Home) 27 Sept
Dolgellau Athletic
8 : 3 Queens Park
21 Sept
Queens Park
1 : 6 Porthmadog
08 Oct
Queens Park
0 : 3 Airbus UK Broughton FC
17 Sept
Talysarn Celts
0 : 1 Queens Park
09 Nov
Rhyl
3 : 0 Queens Park
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Queens Park
1 : 6 Porthmadog
08 Oct
Queens Park
0 : 3 Airbus UK Broughton FC
15 May
Queens Park
1 : 5 Penrhyncoch
12 May
Queens Park
2 : 3 Llandudno Junction
28 Apr
Queens Park
0 : 6 Porthmadog
Page 1 of 3
Porthmadog
(Away) 15 Aug
Buckley
1 : 1 Porthmadog
08 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 0 Rhyl
01 Aug
Penrhyncoch
1 : 3 Porthmadog
13 Dec
Porthmadog
1 : 2 Rhyl
22 Nov
Porthmadog
3 : 2 Port Talbot
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Buckley
1 : 1 Porthmadog
01 Aug
Penrhyncoch
1 : 3 Porthmadog
28 Jun
Ruthin Town
4 : 2 Porthmadog
21 Sept
Queens Park
1 : 6 Porthmadog
01 Apr
Chirk AAA FC
1 : 1 Porthmadog
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Cardiff Corries 4
Risca United 1
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Llantwit Major 3
Ely Rangers 2
Caldicot 1
Morriston Town 2
Cambrian United -
TBD -
TBD -
Goytre Utd -
Llandudno FC 4
Llanberis FC 0
Kinmel Bay 3
Brickfield Rangers 1
Penydarren 4
Porthcawl Town 3
TBD -
Pontypridd United -
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Cwmbran Town 1
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Llandudno Amateurs 0
Holyhead 4
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llannefydd 1
Rhydymwyn 0
Trearddur Bay 2
NFA 1
Penybont -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TNS -
TBD -
St. Asaph 0
Llangollen 2
Buckley 7
Builth 2
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Holywell Town FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruthin Town -
Queens Park 1
Porthmadog 6
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Goytre AFC 3
Pencoed 1
St Joseph's 0
Cardiff Draconians 3
Caersws FC 5
Cefn Albion 0
Rhyl 2
Flint Mountain 1
Bangor 1876 -
TBD -
Corwen 0
Llay Welfare 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Caerau Ely -
Cardiff Bay Warriors 2
West End 0
Ynysygerwn 1
Rogerstone 3
Flint Town -
TBD -
Gresford 9
Prestatyn 0
Bala -
TBD -
Carno FC 0
Llanrhaeadr 4
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Trefelin 4
Newport Corinthians 1
Llwydcoed 0
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Penrhyncoch 2
Talysarn Celts 1
TBD -
Mold Alexandra -
New Inn 2
Abertillery Bluebirds 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llanrwst United 5
Menai Bridge Tigers 1
Llansannan 0
Cerrigydrudion 2
Denbigh -
TBD -
Llangefni 7
Gaerwen 1
Penmaenmawr Phoenix 1
Llanuwchllyn 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Aber Valley 3
Cwmamman United 1
Pure Swansea 5
Baglan Dragons 0
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Ammanford Town -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Taffs Well 0
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Treherbert 1
Clwb Cymric 2
TBD -
Llanelli -
Newport City 0
Monmouth 2
Chepstow Town 0
Pill 1
1/32-finals
Cardiff Corries 3
Afan Lido 4
Llantwit Major 1
Morriston Town 2
Cambrian United 1
Goytre Utd 0
Llandudno FC 4
Kinmel Bay 3
Penydarren 2
Pontypridd United 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Carmarthen Town 4
Holyhead 1
Caernarfon 0
Llannefydd 1
Trearddur Bay 2
Penybont 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
TNS 16
Llangollen 0
Buckley 2
Colwyn Bay 3
Holywell Town FC 1
Ruthin Town 2
Porthmadog 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Goytre AFC 1
Cardiff Draconians 0
Caersws FC 7
Rhyl 4
Bangor 1876 2
Llay Welfare 1
Barry Town 3
Caerau Ely 4
Cardiff Bay Warriors 2
Rogerstone 4
Flint Town 5
Gresford 1
Bala 3
Llanrhaeadr 1
Trefelin 5
Newport Corinthians 0
Connahs Q. 5
Guilsfield 0
Penrhyncoch 1
Mold Alexandra 3
New Inn 0
Briton Ferry 3
Llanrwst United 2
Cerrigydrudion 1
Denbigh 4
Llangefni 2
Llanuwchllyn 1
Newtown 0
Aber Valley 0
Pure Swansea 2
Aberystwyth 0
Ammanford Town 1
Haverfordwest 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Clwb Cymric 0
Llanelli 3
Monmouth 2
Pill 3
1/16-finals
Afan Lido 2
Morriston Town 1
Cambrian United 3
Llandudno FC 2
Penydarren 2
Carmarthen Town 3
Holyhead 1
Trearddur Bay 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
TNS 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Ruthin Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 7
Goytre AFC 1
Caersws FC 2
Bangor 1876 1
Caerau Ely 8
Rogerstone 1
Flint Town 2
Bala 3
Trefelin 1
Connahs Q. 2
Mold Alexandra 2
Briton Ferry 1
Llanrwst United 0
Denbigh 3
Llanuwchllyn 3
Pure Swansea 0
Ammanford Town 1
Haverfordwest 2
Llanelli 4
Pill 0
1/8-finals
Afan Lido 0
Cambrian United 1
Carmarthen Town 1
Holyhead 0
TNS 4
Colwyn Bay 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Caersws FC 0
Caerau Ely 1
Bala 0
Connahs Q. 1
Mold Alexandra 0
Denbigh 7
Llanuwchllyn 1
Haverfordwest 0
Llanelli 2
Quarter-finals
Cambrian United 3
Carmarthen Town 1
TNS 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Caerau Ely 0
Connahs Q. 2
Denbigh 0
Llanelli 1
Semi-finals
Cambrian United 0
TNS 5
Connahs Q. 2
Llanelli 1
Final
TNS 2
Connahs Q. 1
