Palpites de Esportes

Stadium Background

San Marino vs Cyprus

World World

World Championship 2026 San Marino Stadium, Serravalle
Nossa Dica

Eventos da Partida

9'
Sub
Contadini A. Entra: Berardi F.
Sai: Contadini A.
9' Event
Loizou L.
Assist: Pileas K.
41'
Pileas K.

Resumo do Jogo

The World Championship 2026 game between San Marino and Cyprus finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cyprus.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

13%
San Marino
17%
Empates
70%
Cyprus
Projeção de empate: 17% Favorito: Cyprus

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

88% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Cyprus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cyprus's way, sitting at 70%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
  • Cyprus have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 69%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 31%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 29.6%
San Marino Sem Sofrer Gols 10%
Cyprus Sem Sofrer Gols 68%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica San Marino Cyprus
Partidas Jogadas 30 28
Vitórias 2 8
Empates 3 5
Derrotas 25 15
Gols Marcados 0.57 1.21
Gols Sofridos 2.8 1.89
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.13 3.13
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

12 de out. de 2025 World Championship
San Marino vs Cyprus
0:4
21 de mar. de 2025 World Championship
Cyprus vs San Marino
2:0
11 de jun. de 2024 Friendly International
San Marino vs Cyprus
1:4
9 de set. de 2019 Euro
San Marino vs Cyprus
0:4
21 de mar. de 2019 Euro
Cyprus vs San Marino
5:0

Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave

Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols

San Marino Comparar

Média xG / jogo 0.87
Média xA / jogo 0.56

Cyprus Comparar

Artilheiro Loizou L.
1 Gols
Líder de Assistências Andreou S.
1 Ast
Média xG / jogo 2.85
Média xA / jogo 1.74

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

San Marino 14 / 100
Cyprus 77 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
San Marino Cyprus

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Cyprus Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
Resultado BTTS No (NG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Cyprus let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

San Marino found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

San Marino went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

San Marino VS Cyprus
0.5 Gols Marcados 1.63
4.63 Gols Sofridos 1.75
88% Mais de 1.5 75%
88% Mais de 2.5 63%
75% Mais de 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marino

(Home)
09 Jun
Azerbaijan
2 : 1
San Marino
05 Jun
San Marino
1 : 2
Bangladesh
31 Mar
San Marino
0 : 0
Andorra
28 Mar
San Marino
1 : 2
Faroe Islands
18 Nov
Romania
7 : 1
San Marino
Page 1 of 6

Cyprus

(Away)
07 Jun
Liechtenstein
0 : 2
Cyprus
04 Jun
Slovenia
1 : 1
Cyprus
30 Mar
Cyprus
3 : 2
Moldova
26 Mar
Cyprus
0 : 1
Belarus
18 Nov
Cyprus
2 : 4
Estonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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