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Serbia vs Germany - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League
sex., 13 de nov. de 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

Serbia host Germany in the UEFA Nations League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Serbia have averaged 0.9 scored and 1.37 conceded recently, against Germany's 2.22 scored and 0.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Serbia have won 1 to Germany's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 1 de out. de 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 2.63) point toward Germany. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

4%
Serbia
6%
Empates
90%
Germany
Projeção de empate: 6% Favorito: Germany

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

95% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Form's been kind to Germany lately — more wins on the board than Serbia.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Germany taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 99%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 94%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 25.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 11%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 69%
Serbia Sem Sofrer Gols 10%
Germany Sem Sofrer Gols 16%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Serbia Germany
Partidas Jogadas 30 32
Vitórias 9 19
Empates 7 6
Derrotas 14 7
Gols Marcados 0.9 2.22
Gols Sofridos 1.37 0.97
Gols Esperados (xG) 0.94 2.63
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

1 de out. de 2026 UEFA Nations League
Germany vs Serbia
2:0
20 de mar. de 2019 Friendly International
Germany vs Serbia
1:1
18 de jun. de 2010 World Championship
Germany vs Serbia
0:1
31 de mai. de 2008 Friendly International
Germany vs Serbia
2:1

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Serbia 10 / 100
Germany 84 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Serbia Germany

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Germany Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Germany's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Serbia scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Germany lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

Serbia VS Germany
0.75 Gols Marcados 2.75
2.5 Gols Sofridos 1.13
100% Mais de 1.5 88%
88% Mais de 2.5 88%
13% Mais de 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Serbia

(Home)
04 Oct
Netherlands
2 : 1
Serbia
01 Oct
Germany
2 : 0
Serbia
27 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2
Netherlands
24 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2
Greece
05 Jun
Mexico
5 : 1
Serbia
Page 1 of 6

Germany

(Away)
04 Oct
Greece
0 : 0
Germany
01 Oct
Germany
2 : 0
Serbia
27 Sept
Germany
0 : 1
Greece
24 Sept
Netherlands
1 : 1
Germany
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2
Paraguay
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
4 Turkey 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 4 4 0 0 12:5 12
2 England 4 3 0 1 14:3 9
3 Croatia 4 1 0 3 4:14 3
4 Czech Republic 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)