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South Africa W vs Madagascar W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Olympic Games Women
ter., 13 de out. de 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

The first leg ended 0-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. South Africa W have averaged 2.72 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Madagascar W's 1.3 scored and 1.35 conceded. Past meetings favor South Africa W slightly — 4-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 9 de out. de 2026, ending 0:4. xG projections (1.27 - 0.81) back South Africa W to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

90%
South Africa W
6%
Empates
4%
Madagascar W
Projeção de empate: 6% Favorito: South Africa W

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

95% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • South Africa W have won more games recently than Madagascar W.
  • Model gives South Africa W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • South Africa W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor South Africa W, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and South Africa W have taken 4 of them.

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 15%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 7%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 67%
South Africa W Sem Sofrer Gols 20%
Madagascar W Sem Sofrer Gols 11%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica South Africa W Madagascar W
Partidas Jogadas 36 20
Vitórias 26 7
Empates 4 3
Derrotas 6 10
Gols Marcados 2.72 1.3
Gols Sofridos 0.75 1.35
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.27 0.81
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

9 de out. de 2026 Olympic Games Women
Madagascar W vs South Africa W
0:4
7 de out. de 2023 COSAFA Cup Women
South Africa W vs Madagascar W
3:1
5 de ago. de 2019 COSAFA Cup Women
South Africa W vs Madagascar W
3:0
12 de set. de 2018 COSAFA Cup Women
South Africa W vs Madagascar W
2:1

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

South Africa W 85 / 100
Madagascar W 10 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
South Africa W Madagascar W

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal South Africa W Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Attacking prowess: South Africa W scored in 97% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Madagascar W let in goals in 65% of their last 20 matches.

Recent resilience: South Africa W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

South Africa W VS Madagascar W
1.38 Gols Marcados 0.5
1.13 Gols Sofridos 1.17
88% Mais de 1.5 50%
38% Mais de 2.5 17%
13% Mais de 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

South Africa W

(Home)
09 Oct
Madagascar W
0 : 4
South Africa W
13 Aug
South Africa W
2 : 1
Nigeria W
08 Aug
Morocco W
2 : 1
South Africa W
04 Aug
Burkina Faso W
0 : 1
South Africa W
31 Jul
South Africa W
2 : 2
Ivory Coast W
Page 1 of 8

Madagascar W

(Away)
09 Oct
Madagascar W
0 : 4
South Africa W
09 Jun
Madagascar W
1 : 0
South Sudan W
06 Jun
South Sudan W
1 : 1
Madagascar W
25 Feb
Mozambique W
2 : 0
Madagascar W
23 Feb
Namibia W
0 : 1
Madagascar W
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tunisia W -
TBD -
TBD -
Senegal W -
Benin W -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali W -
Congo W -
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco W -
Sudan W 0
Comoros W 30
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon W -
D.R. Congo W -
TBD -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
Central Africa W -
TBD -
TBD -
Algeria W -
Burkina Faso W -
TBD -
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea W -
Rwanda W -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia W -
Botswana W -
TBD -
TBD -
Tanzania W -
Angola W -
TBD -
TBD -
Namibia W -
South Sudan W 1
Madagascar W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Seychelles W -
TBD -
TBD -
Kenya W -
Malawi W -
TBD -
TBD -
Zimbabwe W -
Uganda W -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia W -
Mauritius W 3
Djibouti W 1
TBD -
Ghana W -
1/8-finals
Tunisia W 0
Senegal W 1
Benin W 3
Mali W 1
Congo W -
Morocco W -
Comoros W 0
Nigeria W 2
Guinea W -
Cameroon W -
D.R. Congo W 1
Ivory Coast W 4
Central Africa W 0
Algeria W 8
Burkina Faso W 3
Equatorial Guinea W 1
Rwanda W 0
Ethiopia W 1
Botswana W 0
Tanzania W 1
Angola W 0
Namibia W 0
Madagascar W 0
South Africa W 4
Seychelles W 0
Kenya W 11
Malawi W 2
Zimbabwe W 0
Uganda W 2
Zambia W 1
Mauritius W 0
Ghana W 3
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco W -
TBD -
Cameroon W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -