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Tai Po vs Pathum United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2 Tai Po Sports Ground, Hongkong
qui., 29 de out. de 2026
VS
12:15 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

Tai Po host Pathum United in the AFC Champions League 2. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Tai Po at 2.1 goals for, 1.62 against; Pathum United at 1.54 for, 1.18 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.50 - 1.50) back Tai Po to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

40%
Tai Po
33%
Empates
27%
Pathum United
Projeção de empate: 33% Favorito: Tai Po

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

70% / Média de Confiança
  • Pathum United haven't matched Tai Po's recent run of results.
  • Tai Po are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League 2 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 99%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 88%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 38%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 17%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 76.2%
Tai Po Sem Sofrer Gols 16%
Pathum United Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Tai Po Pathum United
Partidas Jogadas 29 28
Vitórias 18 10
Empates 1 11
Derrotas 10 7
Gols Marcados 2.1 1.54
Gols Sofridos 1.62 1.18
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.50 1.50
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Tai Po 39 / 100
Pathum United 26 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Tai Po Pathum United

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Tai Po Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Tai Po found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Pathum United conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Tai Po went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Pathum United has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tendências de Gols

Tai Po VS Pathum United
1.5 Gols Marcados 1.38
1.63 Gols Sofridos 1.5
88% Mais de 1.5 88%
63% Mais de 2.5 50%
38% Mais de 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tai Po

(Home)
19 Oct
Tai Po
4 : 2
Southern District
15 Oct
Tai Po
0 : 1
Lion City Sailors
10 Oct
Tai Po
1 : 1
Kowloon City
04 Oct
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 3
Tai Po
17 Sept
Adelaide Utd
3 : 0
Tai Po
Page 1 of 6

Pathum United

(Away)
18 Oct
Sisaket United
1 : 1
Pathum United
15 Oct
Pathum United
1 : 2
Adelaide Utd
10 Oct
Pathum United
1 : 1
Ayutthaya United
20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2
Pathum United
17 Sept
Lion City Sailors
1 : 1
Pathum United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wahda 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
2 Al Kuwait 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
3 Nasaf Qarshi 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
4 Al Khalidiyah 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jazira 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Arkadag 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Al Muharraq 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
4 Gol Gohar 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Taawon 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Al Rayyan 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 Al Faisaly Amman 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
4 Al Nahda 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Al Hussein 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 East Bengal 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
4 Al Seeb 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Melbourne Victory 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Viettel 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
4 Seoul 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Utd 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Lion City Sailors 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Pathum United 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Tai Po 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Machida Zelvia 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Shanghai Shenhua 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Svay Rieng 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
4 Tampines 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phnom Penh Crown 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Kitchee 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
3 Kuching City FC 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
4 Gangwon 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)