Palpites de Esportes
Toronto FC II vs Philadelphia Union II
USA
MLS Next Pro 2025 York Lions Stadium, Toronto, ON 
Eventos da Partida
28'
28'
Fisher M.
(Pênalti)
45'
45'
Korzeniowski S.
Assist: Olney JR C.
64'
64'
Sub
Kapor S. Entra: Chisholm M.
Sai: Kapor S.
Resumo do Jogo
The MLS Next Pro 2025 game between Toronto FC II and Philadelphia Union II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Philadelphia Union II.
Probabilidade de Vitória
Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente
50%
28%
22%
Projeção de empate: 28% Favorito: Toronto FC II
Confiança do Modelo
Pontuação indicadora agregada
76%
/ Alta de Confiança
- Look at the last few games and Philadelphia Union II come out ahead of Toronto FC II on wins alone.
- Model gives Toronto FC II a 50% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
Probabilidade de Gols
Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG
Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 44%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 20%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 74.2%
Toronto FC II Sem Sofrer Gols 13%
Philadelphia Union II Sem Sofrer Gols 10%
Análise de Forma Recente
Médias por partida nos jogos históricos
| Métrica | Toronto FC II | Philadelphia Union II |
|---|---|---|
| Partidas Jogadas | 29 | 30 |
| Vitórias | 12 | 15 |
| Empates | 0 | 1 |
| Derrotas | 17 | 14 |
| Gols Marcados | 1.5 | 1 |
| Gols Sofridos | 2.38 | 1.5 |
| Gols Esperados (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) | 2.38 | 1.50 |
H2H
Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados
29 de mai. de 2026 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Philadelphia Union II
2:1
17 de abr. de 2026 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Philadelphia Union II
1:0
28 de fev. de 2026 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs Toronto FC II
1:0
26 de set. de 2025 MLS Next Pro
Toronto FC II vs Philadelphia Union II
1:2
20 de ago. de 2025 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs Toronto FC II
2:3
Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave
Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols
Toronto FC II Comparar
Média xG / jogo 1.15
Média xA / jogo 0.75
Philadelphia Union II Comparar
Artilheiro Korzeniowski S.
1 Gols Líder de Assistências Benitez O.
1 Ast
Média xG / jogo 0.91
Média xA / jogo 0.56
Índice de Momentum SokaPicks
Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente
Toronto FC II 48 / 100
Philadelphia Union II 22 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).
Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa
Toronto FC II Philadelphia Union II
Previsão do Mecanismo
Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas
Escolha Principal TOR Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5
Insights Inteligentes
Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados
Philadelphia Union II has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Toronto FC II's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Philadelphia Union II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Tendências de Gols
Toronto FC II VS Philadelphia Union II
1.5 Gols Marcados 1
2.38 Gols Sofridos 1.5
88% Mais de 1.5 63%
88% Mais de 2.5 50%
63% Mais de 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Toronto FC II
(Home) 25 Jul
Inter Miami II
2 : 1 Toronto FC II
17 Jul
Toronto FC II
3 : 1 FC Cincinnati 2
12 Jul
CT United FC
3 : 2 Toronto FC II
04 Jul
Atlanta United 2
1 : 0 Toronto FC II
28 Jun
Toronto FC II
1 : 3 New England Revolution II
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Toronto FC II
3 : 1 FC Cincinnati 2
28 Jun
Toronto FC II
1 : 3 New England Revolution II
14 Jun
Toronto FC II
2 : 4 CT United FC
05 Jun
Toronto FC II
2 : 1 Huntsville City
29 May
Toronto FC II
2 : 1 Philadelphia Union II
Page 1 of 3
Philadelphia Union II
(Away) 25 Jul
Chattanooga
4 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
18 Jul
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
12 Jul
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 0 Huntsville City
05 Jul
New England Revolution II
0 : 4 Philadelphia Union II
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Chattanooga
4 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
18 Jul
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
05 Jul
New England Revolution II
0 : 4 Philadelphia Union II
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0 Philadelphia Union II
21 Jun
Orlando City B
1 : 2 Philadelphia Union II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Red Bulls II | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 68:56 | 58 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 64:34 | 58 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 54:37 | 54 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire II | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 69:58 | 48 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 40:41 | 41 |
| 6 | Toronto FC II | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 34:42 | 38 |
| 7 | New York City II | 28 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 53:61 | 35 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew 2 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 40:64 | 22 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chattanooga | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 42:36 | 53 |
| 2 | Huntsville City | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 56:32 | 52 |
| 3 | Carolina Core | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 42:44 | 39 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 44:43 | 38 |
| 5 | Orlando City B | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 38:55 | 37 |
| 6 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 45:54 | 32 |
| 7 | Inter Miami II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 40:72 | 25 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 59:36 | 52 |
| 2 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 55:42 | 51 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 61:54 | 42 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 48:51 | 41 |
| 5 | Portland Timbers 2 | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 47:54 | 38 |
| 6 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 62:67 | 36 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 47:61 | 33 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Louis City 2 | 28 | 22 | 0 | 6 | 60:37 | 62 |
| 2 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 55:40 | 51 |
| 3 | Minnesota United 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 45:42 | 44 |
| 4 | North Texas | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 46:56 | 43 |
| 5 | Austin FC II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 35:36 | 41 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 40:47 | 37 |
| 7 | Sporting Kansas City II | 28 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 30:67 | 17 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Red Bulls II | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 68:56 | 58 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 64:34 | 58 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 54:37 | 54 |
| 4 | Chattanooga | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 42:36 | 53 |
| 5 | Huntsville City | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 56:32 | 52 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire II | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 69:58 | 48 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 40:41 | 41 |
| 8 | Carolina Core | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 42:44 | 39 |
| 9 | Toronto FC II | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 34:42 | 38 |
| 10 | Atlanta United 2 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 44:43 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando City B | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 38:55 | 37 |
| 12 | New York City II | 28 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 53:61 | 35 |
| 13 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 45:54 | 32 |
| 14 | Inter Miami II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 40:72 | 25 |
| 15 | Columbus Crew 2 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 40:64 | 22 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Louis City 2 | 28 | 22 | 0 | 6 | 60:37 | 62 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 59:36 | 52 |
| 3 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 55:40 | 51 |
| 4 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 55:42 | 51 |
| 5 | Minnesota United 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 45:42 | 44 |
| 6 | North Texas | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 46:56 | 43 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 61:54 | 42 |
| 8 | Ventura County | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 48:51 | 41 |
| 9 | Austin FC II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 35:36 | 41 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers 2 | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 47:54 | 38 |
| 11 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 40:47 | 37 |
| 12 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 62:67 | 36 |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 47:61 | 33 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas City II | 28 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 30:67 | 17 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2025 (Play Offs)
