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Tottenham vs Aston Villa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Inglaterra Inglaterra

FA Cup 2025/2026 Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Nossa Dica

Eventos da Partida

9'
Sub
Kamara B. Entra: Tielemans Y.
Sai: Kamara B.
22' Event
Buendia E.
Assist: Malen D.
31'
Sub
Richarlison Entra: Kolo Muani R.
Sai: Richarlison

Resumo do Jogo

Aston Villa in this FA Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

9%
Tottenham
11%
Empates
80%
Aston Villa
Projeção de empate: 11% Favorito: Aston Villa

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

93% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Aston Villa have won more games recently than Tottenham.
  • Aston Villa are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Aston Villa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aston Villa, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Aston Villa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 44%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 20%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 77%
Tottenham Sem Sofrer Gols 17%
Aston Villa Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Tottenham Aston Villa
Partidas Jogadas 30 31
Vitórias 10 15
Empates 7 4
Derrotas 13 12
Gols Marcados 1.3 1.97
Gols Sofridos 1.6 1.45
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.56 1.38
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

19 de set. de 2026 Premier League
Tottenham vs Aston Villa
2:3
3 de mai. de 2026 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Tottenham
1:2
10 de jan. de 2026 FA Cup
Tottenham vs Aston Villa
1:2
19 de out. de 2025 Premier League
Tottenham vs Aston Villa
1:2
16 de mai. de 2025 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Tottenham
2:0

Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave

Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols

Tottenham Comparar

Artilheiro Odobert W.
1 Gols
Média xG / jogo 1.2
Média xA / jogo 0.78

Aston Villa Comparar

Artilheiro Buendia E.
1 Gols
Líder de Assistências Rogers M.
1 Ast
Média xG / jogo 1.25
Média xA / jogo 0.77

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Tottenham 12 / 100
Aston Villa 74 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Tottenham Aston Villa

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Aston Villa Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Aston Villa let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Tottenham scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Tottenham stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

Tottenham VS Aston Villa
1.38 Gols Marcados 1.38
1.38 Gols Sofridos 1.75
75% Mais de 1.5 75%
63% Mais de 2.5 75%
38% Mais de 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tottenham

(Home)
19 Sept
Tottenham
2 : 3
Aston Villa
15 Sept
Liverpool
3 : 1
Tottenham
12 Sept
Tottenham
0 : 0
Everton
05 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 0
Tottenham
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2
Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 6

Aston Villa

(Away)
02 Oct
Sevilla
1 : 3
Aston Villa
19 Sept
Tottenham
2 : 3
Aston Villa
16 Sept
Coventry
1 : 3
Aston Villa
12 Sept
Aston Villa
1 : 2
Nottingham
08 Sept
Club Brugge
2 : 3
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Ipswich -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Scunthorpe 0
Reading 2
Carlisle 3
Hull City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Blackburn -
Charlton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Port Vale 5
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Bromley 1
Bristol Rovers 2
Fleetwood Town 2
Barnet 1
Luton 4
Forest Green 3
Bristol City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford -
Colchester 2
Milton Keynes Dons 3
Oldham 3
Northampton 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford Utd -
Everton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sunderland -
Boreham Wood 3
Crawley Town 0
Newport 3
Gillingham 2
Brackley 3
Notts County 2
Burton 6
St. Albans 0
West Ham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
QPR -
Slough Town 2
Altrincham 1
Macclesfield 6
AFC Totton 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crystal Palace -
Sheffield Wed -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
Tranmere 1
Stockport County 3
Cambridge Utd 3
Chester 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birmingham -
Derby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Norwich -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 0
Gateshead 2
Eastleigh 0
Walsall 3
Swansea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
West Brom -
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax 0
Exeter 2
Wycombe 2
Plymouth 0
Salford 2
Lincoln City 1
Tamworth 0
Leyton Orient 1
Rotherham 1
Swindon 2
Bolton 2
Huddersfield 1
Grimsby 3
Ebbsfleet 1
Wealdstone 1
Southend 0
Chelmsford 4
Braintree 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Aldershot 1
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton 2
Telford 1
South Shields 1
Shrewsbury 3
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough 1
Cardiff 0
Barnsley 3
York City 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Stoke City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coventry -
Fulham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Middlesbrough -
Stevenage 0
Chesterfield 1
Crewe 1
Doncaster 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southampton -
Cheltenham 1
Bradford City 0
Buxton 2
Chatham 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leicester -
Burnley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Millwall -
Sheffield Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough 1
Accrington 2
Mansfield 3
Harrogate 2
Portsmouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wigan 2
Hemel Hempstead 1
Spennymoor 0
Barrow 2
1/64-finals
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Ipswich -
TBD -
Blackpool 4
Carlisle 1
Hull City -
TBD -
TBD -
Blackburn -
Charlton -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Port Vale 1
Bristol Rovers 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Luton 2
Bristol City -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford -
Milton Keynes Dons 3
Oldham 1
TBD -
Oxford Utd -
Everton -
TBD -
TBD -
Sunderland -
Boreham Wood 3
Newport 0
Brackley 1
Burton 3
West Ham -
TBD -
TBD -
QPR -
Slough Town 1
Macclesfield 3
TBD -
Crystal Palace -
Sheffield Wed -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
Stockport County 0
Cambridge Utd 1
TBD -
Birmingham -
Derby -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Norwich -
TBD -
Gateshead 0
Walsall 2
Swansea -
TBD -
TBD -
West Brom -
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Exeter 4
Wycombe 0
Salford 4
Leyton Orient 0
Swindon 4
Bolton 0
Grimsby 4
Wealdstone 0
Chelmsford 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wolves -
TBD -
Sutton 1
Shrewsbury 2
Liverpool -
TBD -
Peterborough 0
Barnsley 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Stoke City -
TBD -
TBD -
Coventry -
Fulham -
TBD -
TBD -
Middlesbrough -
Chesterfield 1
Doncaster 2
TBD -
Southampton -
Cheltenham 6
Buxton 2
TBD -
Leicester -
Burnley -
TBD -
TBD -
Millwall -
Sheffield Utd -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Mansfield 3
Portsmouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston -
TBD -
Wigan 3
Barrow 2
1/32-finals
Wrexham 4
Nottingham 3
Ipswich 2
Blackpool 1
Hull City 1
Blackburn 0
Charlton 1
Chelsea 5
Port Vale 1
Fleetwood Town 0
Bristol City 5
Watford 1
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Oxford Utd 2
Everton 1
Sunderland 2
Boreham Wood 0
Burton 5
West Ham 2
QPR 1
Macclesfield 2
Crystal Palace 1
Sheffield Wed 0
Brentford 2
Cambridge Utd 2
Birmingham 3
Derby 1
Leeds 3
Norwich 5
Walsall 1
Swansea 2
West Brom 3
Tottenham 1
Aston Villa 2
Newcastle Utd 4
Bournemouth 3
Manchester City 10
Exeter 1
Salford 3
Swindon 2
Grimsby 3
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wolves 6
Shrewsbury 1
Liverpool 4
Barnsley 1
Manchester United 1
Brighton 2
Stoke City 1
Coventry 0
Fulham 3
Middlesbrough 1
Doncaster 2
Southampton 3
Cheltenham 0
Leicester 2
Burnley 5
Millwall 1
Sheffield Utd 3
Mansfield 4
Portsmouth 1
Arsenal 4
Preston 0
Wigan 1
1/16-finals
Wrexham 1
Ipswich 0
Hull City 0
Chelsea 4
Port Vale 1
Bristol City 0
Oxford Utd 0
Sunderland 1
Burton 0
West Ham 1
Macclesfield 0
Brentford 1
Birmingham 1
Leeds 2
Norwich 3
West Brom 1
Aston Villa 1
Newcastle Utd 3
Manchester City 2
Salford 0
Grimsby 0
Wolves 1
Liverpool 3
Brighton 0
Stoke City 1
Fulham 2
Southampton 2
Leicester 1
Burnley 1
Mansfield 2
Arsenal 4
Wigan 0
1/8-finals
Wrexham 2
Chelsea 4
Port Vale 1
Sunderland 0
West Ham 3
Brentford 2
Leeds 3
Norwich 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 3
Wolves 1
Liverpool 3
Fulham 0
Southampton 1
Mansfield 1
Arsenal 2
Quarter-finals
Chelsea 7
Port Vale 0
West Ham 2
Leeds 3
Manchester City 4
Liverpool 0
Southampton 2
Arsenal 1
Semi-finals
Chelsea 1
Leeds 0
Manchester City 2
Southampton 1
Final
Chelsea 0
Manchester City 1