Palpites de Esportes
Treowen vs Pontypridd United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FAW Welsh Cup 2025/2026 
Eventos da Partida
41'
41'
Stephens J.
58'
58'
Green L.
1'
1'
Hodges C.
(Pênalti)
Resumo do Jogo
Pontypridd United in this FAW Welsh Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Probabilidade de Vitória
Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente
22%
28%
50%
Projeção de empate: 28% Favorito: Pontypridd United
Confiança do Modelo
Pontuação indicadora agregada
76%
/ Alta de Confiança
- Pontypridd United have won more games recently than Treowen.
- Win probability leans Pontypridd United's way, sitting at 50%.
- Pontypridd United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Pontypridd United, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
- Pontypridd United have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Probabilidade de Gols
Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG
Mais de 0.5 Gols 98%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 87.5%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 50%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 23%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 77.4%
Treowen Sem Sofrer Gols 10%
Pontypridd United Sem Sofrer Gols 10%
Análise de Forma Recente
Médias por partida nos jogos históricos
| Métrica | Treowen | Pontypridd United |
|---|---|---|
| Partidas Jogadas | 29 | 29 |
| Vitórias | 12 | 14 |
| Empates | 5 | 6 |
| Derrotas | 12 | 9 |
| Gols Marcados | 1.83 | 1.93 |
| Gols Sofridos | 1.9 | 1.59 |
| Gols Esperados (xG) | 1.81 | 2.13 |
| Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados
1 de ago. de 2026 Cymru South
Treowen vs Pontypridd United
2:3
14 de mar. de 2026 Cymru South
Treowen vs Pontypridd United
2:2
22 de nov. de 2025 FAW Welsh Cup
Treowen vs Pontypridd United
1:2
3 de out. de 2025 Cymru South
Pontypridd United vs Treowen
5:2
Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave
Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols
Treowen Comparar
Artilheiro Green L.
1 Gols Média xG / jogo 1.39
Média xA / jogo 0.91
Pontypridd United Comparar
Artilheiro Stephens J.
1 Gols Média xG / jogo 1.94
Média xA / jogo 1.18
Índice de Momentum SokaPicks
Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente
Treowen 22 / 100
Pontypridd United 47 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).
Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa
Treowen Pontypridd United
Previsão do Mecanismo
Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas
Escolha Principal Pontypridd United Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5
Insights Inteligentes
Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados
Treowen found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 4.75 goals.
Pontypridd United has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Treowen went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Tendências de Gols
Treowen VS Pontypridd United
2.13 Gols Marcados 2.25
2 Gols Sofridos 1.5
100% Mais de 1.5 75%
75% Mais de 2.5 75%
50% Mais de 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Treowen
(Home) 03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1 Treowen
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1 Llantwit Major
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2 Treowen
31 Aug
Caerau Ely
3 : 2 Treowen
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2 Ynyshir Albions
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1 Llantwit Major
15 Aug
Treowen
3 : 0 Caerphilly
01 Aug
Treowen
2 : 3 Pontypridd United
18 Apr
Treowen
4 : 1 Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 4
Pontypridd United
(Away) 06 Oct
Pontypridd United
4 : 1 Llantwit Major
03 Oct
Pontypridd United
1 : 3 Aberystwyth
25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1 Afan Lido
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 2 Pontypridd United
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4 Pontypridd United
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4 Pontypridd United
01 Aug
Treowen
2 : 3 Pontypridd United
11 Apr
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 2 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Porthmadog 3
Denbigh 2
TBD -
Buckley -
Port Talbot 2
Seven Sisters 1
Afan Lido 3
Evans Williams 2
Pwllheli 1
Rhyl 3
Brickfield Rangers 3
NFA 1
Llantwit Major 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Cwmbran Town 5
Ynyshir Albions 4
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Barry Town -
Caerphilly 1
Caldicot 3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 7
Pentwynmawr Ath 0
Saltney Town 3
Gresford 7
Llanrug 4
Ruthin Town 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Taffs Well 2
Abertillery Excelsiors 1
Mold Alexandra -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llannefydd 5
Llanberis FC 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Sychdyn Utd 0
Llwydcoed 3
Lliswerry 1
Pill -
Treowen -
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Rhayader 1
Cefn Cribwr 4
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Llanfair United 1
Kinmel Bay 2
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Goytre Utd 2
Ammanford Town 1
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Bow Street 4
Cefn Albion 2
TBD -
Flint Town -
Holyhead 4
Forden Utd 0
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Cwmbach Royal Stars 3
Garden Village 4
Tredegar Town 1
Glynneath Town 3
Broughton Utd 2
Welshpool 1
Berriew FC 0
Trearddur Bay 3
Newport City -
TBD -
Penygraig Utd 3
Cwm Welfare 2
Blaenavon Blues 4
Canton 1
Pontyclun FC 4
Tata Steel 1
St. Asaph 0
Bangor 1876 6
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Holywell Town FC -
TBD -
Rhostyllen 5
Nefyn United 2
Dinas Powys 3
Afan United 1
Cardiff Draconians 4
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Abercarn United 1
Pure Swansea 2
TBD -
Trefelin -
Caersws FC 6
Hawarden Rangers 1
Dolgellau Athletic 8
Queens Park 3
Penydarren 0
Caerau Ely 5
Morriston Town 1
Clydach 0
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Mountain -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
1/32-finals
Porthmadog 1
Buckley 0
Port Talbot 3
Afan Lido 1
Rhyl 1
Brickfield Rangers 0
Llantwit Major 1
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 3
Haverfordwest 0
Aberystwyth 0
Barry Town 5
Caldicot 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 2
Gresford 9
Llanrug 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 5
Taffs Well 1
Mold Alexandra 1
TNS 2
Newtown 0
Caernarfon 3
Llannefydd 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Llwydcoed 2
Treowen 5
Pontypridd United 3
Cefn Cribwr 1
Carmarthen Town 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Kinmel Bay 0
Colwyn Bay 5
Goytre Utd 0
Cambrian United 6
Briton Ferry 0
Penybont 5
Bow Street 0
Flint Town 3
Holyhead 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 5
Garden Village 2
Glynneath Town 4
Broughton Utd 0
Trearddur Bay 6
Newport City 3
Penygraig Utd 1
Blaenavon Blues 4
Pontyclun FC 2
Bangor 1876 2
Guilsfield 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Rhostyllen 2
Dinas Powys 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Pure Swansea 1
Trefelin 6
Caersws FC 0
Dolgellau Athletic 1
Caerau Ely 3
Morriston Town 0
Llandudno FC 3
Flint Mountain 0
Bala 0
Connahs Q. 3
1/16-finals
Porthmadog 3
Port Talbot 2
Rhyl 3
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 0
Barry Town 6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 0
Gresford 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
TNS 1
Caernarfon 4
Penrhyncoch 0
Treowen 1
Pontypridd United 2
Carmarthen Town 1
Colwyn Bay 3
Cambrian United 1
Penybont 3
Flint Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Glynneath Town 2
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Blaenavon Blues 2
Bangor 1876 2
Holywell Town FC 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Trefelin 4
Dolgellau Athletic 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 2
Connahs Q. 1
1/8-finals
Porthmadog 1
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 4
Gresford 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Caernarfon 4
Pontypridd United 0
Colwyn Bay 3
Penybont 0
Flint Town 1
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Bangor 1876 2
Trefelin 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 1
Quarter-finals
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 1
Caernarfon 4
Colwyn Bay 1
Flint Town 3
Trearddur Bay 0
Bangor 1876 3
Caerau Ely 1
Semi-finals
Rhyl 1
Caernarfon 2
Flint Town 5
Bangor 1876 1
Final
Caernarfon 3
Flint Town 0
