Palpites de Esportes

Stadium Background

Tunisia vs Netherlands

World World

World Championship 2026 Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Nossa Dica

Eventos da Partida

3' Event
Skhiri E.
Own Goal
7' Event
Brobbey B.
Assist: van Dijk V.
54' Event
Mastouri H.
Assist: Mejbri H.

Resumo do Jogo

Netherlands in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Netherlands.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

4%
Tunisia
6%
Empates
90%
Netherlands
Projeção de empate: 6% Favorito: Netherlands

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

95% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Form's been kind to Netherlands lately — more wins on the board than Tunisia.
  • Model gives Netherlands a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 70%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 32%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 73.4%
Tunisia Sem Sofrer Gols 16%
Netherlands Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Tunisia Netherlands
Partidas Jogadas 28 30
Vitórias 12 15
Empates 5 9
Derrotas 11 6
Gols Marcados 1.43 2.37
Gols Sofridos 1.39 1.13
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.44 1.50
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

25 de jun. de 2026 World Championship
Tunisia vs Netherlands
1:3
11 de fev. de 2009 Friendly International
Tunisia vs Netherlands
1:1
19 de jan. de 1994 Friendly International
Tunisia vs Netherlands
2:2

Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave

Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols

Tunisia Comparar

Artilheiro Mastouri H.
1 Gols
Média xG / jogo 1.11
Média xA / jogo 0.72

Netherlands Comparar

Artilheiro Brobbey B.
1 Gols
Líder de Assistências van Hecke J. P.
1 Ast
Média xG / jogo 1.36
Média xA / jogo 0.83

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Tunisia 10 / 100
Netherlands 83 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Tunisia Netherlands

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Netherlands Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:9
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Tunisia scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Netherlands's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Netherlands registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

Tunisia VS Netherlands
1.63 Gols Marcados 2
1 Gols Sofridos 1.25
75% Mais de 1.5 88%
63% Mais de 2.5 75%
25% Mais de 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tunisia

(Home)
25 Jun
Tunisia
1 : 3
Netherlands
21 Jun
Tunisia
0 : 4
Japan
15 Jun
Sweden
5 : 1
Tunisia
06 Jun
Belgium
5 : 0
Tunisia
01 Jun
Austria
1 : 0
Tunisia
Page 1 of 6

Netherlands

(Away)
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2
Morocco
25 Jun
Tunisia
1 : 3
Netherlands
20 Jun
Netherlands
5 : 1
Sweden
14 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 2
Japan
08 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 1
Uzbekistan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 8:3 4
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 2:10 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
4 Turkey 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Curacao 3 0 1 2 1:9 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 10:4 7
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 7:3 5
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 7:7 4
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 4:10 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Cape Verde 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 1:5 2
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 8:7 6
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 8:6 3
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 5:7 4
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 6:1 5
3 D.R. Congo 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams