Palpites de Esportes

Alemanha

Junioren Bundesliga Play Offs 2022/2023

Zehlendorf U19

Nossa Dica

Resumo Prob Vitória Gols Forma H2H Tática Jogadores Índices Previsões Linha de Tempo Mapas Riscos Precisão Comparar

Resumo do Jogo

This Junioren Bundesliga Play Offs 2022/2023 encounter between Union Berlin U19 and Zehlendorf U19 promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Union Berlin U19 averages 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Zehlendorf U19 shows a form average of 2.0 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Both teams have demonstrated potent attacking threats recently, hinting at a potentially open and high-scoring contest. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Union Berlin U19, 1 wins for Zehlendorf U19, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 16.04.23 ended in a 2:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.29 for Union Berlin U19 and 0.81 for Zehlendorf U19, suggesting the primary value lies in the Union Berlin U19 double chance or over markets.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

49%

Union Berlin U19

26%

Empates

25%

Zehlendorf U19

Projeção de empate: 26% Favorito: Union Berlin U19

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

80% / Alta de Confiança

Union Berlin U19 conquistou mais pontos recentemente do que Zehlendorf U19.
Modelo prevê maior perigo de gol para o mandante (2.29 vs 0.81 xG).
Confrontos passados mostram padrão claro a favor do time da casa.
Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 72%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 89%

Mais de 1.5 Gols 91%

Mais de 2.5 Gols 72%

Mais de 3.5 Gols 43%

Mais de 4.5 Gols 22%

Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 66%

Union Berlin U19 Sem Sofrer Gols 26%

Zehlendorf U19 Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Gol no 1º Tempo 82%

Gol no 2º Tempo 86%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica	Union Berlin U19	Zehlendorf U19
Partidas Jogadas	32	30
Vitórias	17	8
Empates	6	6
Derrotas	9	16
Gols Marcados	2.22	1.97
Gols Sofridos	1.63	2.1

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

16.04.23 Junioren Bundesliga Play Offs

Union Berlin U19 vs Zehlendorf U19

Posse de Bola: 55% - 59% Cartões: 2 - 2

2:2

19.02.23 Junioren Bundesliga North

Union Berlin U19 vs Zehlendorf U19

Posse de Bola: 44% - 42% Cartões: 1 - 2

1:0

25.02.12 Junioren Bundesliga North

Union Berlin U19 vs Zehlendorf U19

Posse de Bola: 48% - 57% Cartões: 3 - 2

1:3

27.08.11 Junioren Bundesliga North

Zehlendorf U19 vs Union Berlin U19

Posse de Bola: 44% - 49% Cartões: 3 - 1

0:0

12.02.11 Junioren Bundesliga North

Union Berlin U19 vs Zehlendorf U19

Posse de Bola: 49% - 42% Cartões: 1 - 1

3:2

Perfil Tático do Confronto

Posições de Campo e Estilo de Controle

Union Berlin U19

Intensidade de Pressão Pressão agressiva (PPDA < 9.5)

Estilo de Ataque Posse de bola

Ataque pelas Alas Muitos cruzamentos

Linha Defensiva Linha alta (Linha de impedimento)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Zehlendorf U19

Intensidade de Pressão Bloco Médio

Estilo de Ataque Ataques rápidos

Ataque pelas Alas Muitos cruzamentos

Linha Defensiva Linha alta (Linha de impedimento)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave

Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols

Union Berlin U19 Comparar

Artilheiro Preu D.

1 Gols

Líder de Assistências Gogce B.

1 Ast

Média xG / jogo 2.6

Média xA / jogo 1.69

Zehlendorf U19 Comparar

Artilheiro Muqaj H.

1 Gols

Líder de Assistências Behrend P.

1 Ast

Média xG / jogo 0

Média xA / jogo 0

Alertas de Escalação

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Índice de Momentum Sokapicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Union Berlin U19 49 / 100

Zehlendorf U19 25 / 100

Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

Union Berlin U19 Zehlendorf U19

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Double Chance: Union Berlin U19 or Draw (1X)

Escolha Secundária Under 3.5 Goals

Resultado do 1º Tempo Home Win (HT)

Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)

Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Detetor de Value Bet (+EV)

Onde a probabilidade do modelo supera a das casas

1X2 Home Win

Margem de Valor +19.6%

2.44

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Margem de Valor +9.4%

1.52

*EV represents Valor Esperado. Margem positiva indica que a odd oferecida está abaixo do cálculo probabilístico real.

Linha do Tempo do Jogo

Projeções de dominância e pressão em blocos de 15 min

0' - 15' Índice de Domínio

Union Berlin U19 is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Union Berlin U19 54%

Zehlendorf U19 20%

15' - 30' Índice de Domínio

Zehlendorf U19 will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Union Berlin U19's attacks.

Union Berlin U19 47%

Zehlendorf U19 26%

30' - 45' Índice de Domínio

Expect Union Berlin U19 to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Union Berlin U19 49%

Zehlendorf U19 25%

45' - 60' Índice de Domínio

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Union Berlin U19 vary their attacking width.

Union Berlin U19 51%

Zehlendorf U19 24%

60' - 75' Índice de Domínio

Fatigue may set in for Zehlendorf U19, allowing Union Berlin U19's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Union Berlin U19 44%

Zehlendorf U19 28%

75' - 90' Índice de Domínio

Expect a final offensive push from Union Berlin U19, while Zehlendorf U19 takes risks to salvage a result.

Union Berlin U19 56%

Zehlendorf U19 29%

Mapas de Calor e Chutes

Sobreposições térmicas calculadas por entradas de zona

Union Berlin U19 atacando → ← atacando Zehlendorf U19

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Union Berlin U19 have found the net in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Zehlendorf U19 have conceded at least one goal in 87% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.80 goals per match.

Union Berlin U19 remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Zehlendorf U19 suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Análise de Risco

Avaliando possíveis imprevistos e variáveis externas

Nível de Risco: Moderado

Fator de Risco

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Fator de Risco

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Fator de Risco

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Comparador de Equipes

Comparação lado a lado das métricas

57 Pontos nos últimos 5 30

3.38 Gols esperados (xG) 0.00

0.63 Gols esperados sofridos (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Augsburg U19	3	2	1	7:3	6
2	Heidenheim U19	3	2	1	7:5	6
3	Unterhaching U19	3	1	2	4:5	3
4	Reutlingen U19	3	1	2	3:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Augsburg U19	3	2	1	7:3	6
2	Heidenheim U19	3	2	1	7:5	6
3	Unterhaching U19	3	1	2	4:5	3
4	Reutlingen U19	3	1	2	3:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Augsburg U19	3	2	1	7:3	6
2	Heidenheim U19	3	2	1	7:5	6
3	Unterhaching U19	3	1	2	4:5	3
4	Reutlingen U19	3	1	2	3:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Augsburg U19	3	2	1	7:3	6
2	Heidenheim U19	3	2	1	7:5	6
3	Unterhaching U19	3	1	2	4:5	3
4	Reutlingen U19	3	1	2	3:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nurnberg U19	3	3	0	0	8:3	9
2	Bayern U19	3	2	0	1	8:5	6
3	Munich 1860 U19	3	0	1	2	3:6	1
4	Ingolstadt U19	3	0	1	2	4:9	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nurnberg U19	3	3	0	0	8:3	9
2	Bayern U19	3	2	0	1	8:5	6
3	Munich 1860 U19	3	0	1	2	3:6	1
4	Ingolstadt U19	3	0	1	2	4:9	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nurnberg U19	3	3	0	0	8:3	9
2	Bayern U19	3	2	0	1	8:5	6
3	Munich 1860 U19	3	0	1	2	3:6	1
4	Ingolstadt U19	3	0	1	2	4:9	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nurnberg U19	3	3	0	0	8:3	9
2	Bayern U19	3	2	0	1	8:5	6
3	Munich 1860 U19	3	0	1	2	3:6	1
4	Ingolstadt U19	3	0	1	2	4:9	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	VfB Stuttgart U19	3	3	0	15:2	9
2	Hoffenheim U19	3	2	1	13:8	6
3	Freiburg U19	3	1	2	4:6	3
4	Walldorf U19	3	0	3	3:19	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	VfB Stuttgart U19	3	3	0	15:2	9
2	Hoffenheim U19	3	2	1	13:8	6
3	Freiburg U19	3	1	2	4:6	3
4	Walldorf U19	3	0	3	3:19	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	VfB Stuttgart U19	3	3	0	15:2	9
2	Hoffenheim U19	3	2	1	13:8	6
3	Freiburg U19	3	1	2	4:6	3
4	Walldorf U19	3	0	3	3:19	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	VfB Stuttgart U19	3	3	0	15:2	9
2	Hoffenheim U19	3	2	1	13:8	6
3	Freiburg U19	3	1	2	4:6	3
4	Walldorf U19	3	0	3	3:19	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eintracht Frankfurt U19	3	2	1	0	12:5	7
2	Darmstadt U19	3	2	0	1	10:4	6
3	Karlsruher U19	3	1	1	1	5:7	4
4	Eintracht Trier U19	3	0	0	3	3:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eintracht Frankfurt U19	3	2	1	0	12:5	7
2	Darmstadt U19	3	2	0	1	10:4	6
3	Karlsruher U19	3	1	1	1	5:7	4
4	Eintracht Trier U19	3	0	0	3	3:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eintracht Frankfurt U19	3	2	1	0	12:5	7
2	Darmstadt U19	3	2	0	1	10:4	6
3	Karlsruher U19	3	1	1	1	5:7	4
4	Eintracht Trier U19	3	0	0	3	3:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eintracht Frankfurt U19	3	2	1	0	12:5	7
2	Darmstadt U19	3	2	0	1	10:4	6
3	Karlsruher U19	3	1	1	1	5:7	4
4	Eintracht Trier U19	3	0	0	3	3:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dusseldorf U19	3	2	0	1	8:6	6
2	Oberhausen U19	3	2	0	1	6:4	6
3	RW Essen U19	3	1	1	1	3:2	4
4	Viktoria Koln U19	3	0	1	2	2:7	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dusseldorf U19	3	2	0	1	8:6	6
2	Oberhausen U19	3	2	0	1	6:4	6
3	RW Essen U19	3	1	1	1	3:2	4
4	Viktoria Koln U19	3	0	1	2	2:7	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dusseldorf U19	3	2	0	1	8:6	6
2	Oberhausen U19	3	2	0	1	6:4	6
3	RW Essen U19	3	1	1	1	3:2	4
4	Viktoria Koln U19	3	0	1	2	2:7	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dusseldorf U19	3	2	0	1	8:6	6
2	Oberhausen U19	3	2	0	1	6:4	6
3	RW Essen U19	3	1	1	1	3:2	4
4	Viktoria Koln U19	3	0	1	2	2:7	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	B. Monchengladbach U19	3	2	1	0	14:8	7
2	Leverkusen U19	3	1	2	0	11:6	5
3	Hilden U19	3	1	1	1	5:6	4
4	Bonner U19	3	0	0	3	2:12	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	B. Monchengladbach U19	3	2	1	0	14:8	7
2	Leverkusen U19	3	1	2	0	11:6	5
3	Hilden U19	3	1	1	1	5:6	4
4	Bonner U19	3	0	0	3	2:12	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	B. Monchengladbach U19	3	2	1	0	14:8	7
2	Leverkusen U19	3	1	2	0	11:6	5
3	Hilden U19	3	1	1	1	5:6	4
4	Bonner U19	3	0	0	3	2:12	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	B. Monchengladbach U19	3	2	1	0	14:8	7
2	Leverkusen U19	3	1	2	0	11:6	5
3	Hilden U19	3	1	1	1	5:6	4
4	Bonner U19	3	0	0	3	2:12	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Bochum U19	3	3	0	14:6	9
2	Duisburg U19	3	1	2	8:8	3
3	Meppen U19	3	1	2	7:10	3
4	Preussen Munster U19	3	1	2	5:10	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Bochum U19	3	3	0	14:6	9
2	Duisburg U19	3	1	2	8:8	3
3	Meppen U19	3	1	2	7:10	3
4	Preussen Munster U19	3	1	2	5:10	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Bochum U19	3	3	0	14:6	9
2	Duisburg U19	3	1	2	8:8	3
3	Meppen U19	3	1	2	7:10	3
4	Preussen Munster U19	3	1	2	5:10	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Bochum U19	3	3	0	14:6	9
2	Duisburg U19	3	1	2	8:8	3
3	Meppen U19	3	1	2	7:10	3
4	Preussen Munster U19	3	1	2	5:10	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Wolfsburg U19	3	3	0	9:1	9
2	Paderborn U19	3	2	1	6:3	6
3	Hannover U19	3	1	2	7:7	3
4	Verl U19	3	0	3	2:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Wolfsburg U19	3	3	0	9:1	9
2	Paderborn U19	3	2	1	6:3	6
3	Hannover U19	3	1	2	7:7	3
4	Verl U19	3	0	3	2:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Wolfsburg U19	3	3	0	9:1	9
2	Paderborn U19	3	2	1	6:3	6
3	Hannover U19	3	1	2	7:7	3
4	Verl U19	3	0	3	2:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Wolfsburg U19	3	3	0	9:1	9
2	Paderborn U19	3	2	1	6:3	6
3	Hannover U19	3	1	2	7:7	3
4	Verl U19	3	0	3	2:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cottbus U19	3	2	1	0	5:1	7
2	RB Leipzig U19	3	1	2	0	5:4	5
3	Dresden U19	3	1	1	1	6:5	4
4	Magdeburg U19	3	0	0	3	2:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cottbus U19	3	2	1	0	5:1	7
2	RB Leipzig U19	3	1	2	0	5:4	5
3	Dresden U19	3	1	1	1	6:5	4
4	Magdeburg U19	3	0	0	3	2:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cottbus U19	3	2	1	0	5:1	7
2	RB Leipzig U19	3	1	2	0	5:4	5
3	Dresden U19	3	1	1	1	6:5	4
4	Magdeburg U19	3	0	0	3	2:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cottbus U19	3	2	1	0	5:1	7
2	RB Leipzig U19	3	1	2	0	5:4	5
3	Dresden U19	3	1	1	1	6:5	4
4	Magdeburg U19	3	0	0	3	2:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hansa Rostock U19	3	2	0	1	6:5	6
2	Union Berlin U19	3	1	1	1	9:4	4
3	Zehlendorf U19	3	1	1	1	5:5	4
4	Viktoria Berlin U19	3	1	0	2	5:11	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hansa Rostock U19	3	2	0	1	6:5	6
2	Union Berlin U19	3	1	1	1	9:4	4
3	Zehlendorf U19	3	1	1	1	5:5	4
4	Viktoria Berlin U19	3	1	0	2	5:11	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hansa Rostock U19	3	2	0	1	6:5	6
2	Union Berlin U19	3	1	1	1	9:4	4
3	Zehlendorf U19	3	1	1	1	5:5	4
4	Viktoria Berlin U19	3	1	0	2	5:11	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hansa Rostock U19	3	2	0	1	6:5	6
2	Union Berlin U19	3	1	1	1	9:4	4
3	Zehlendorf U19	3	1	1	1	5:5	4
4	Viktoria Berlin U19	3	1	0	2	5:11	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hamburger U19	3	2	1	0	8:4	7
2	Werder Bremen U19	3	2	0	1	11:10	6
3	St. Pauli U19	3	1	1	1	5:5	4
4	Holstein Kiel U19	3	0	0	3	5:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hamburger U19	3	2	1	0	8:4	7
2	Werder Bremen U19	3	2	0	1	11:10	6
3	St. Pauli U19	3	1	1	1	5:5	4
4	Holstein Kiel U19	3	0	0	3	5:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hamburger U19	3	2	1	0	8:4	7
2	Werder Bremen U19	3	2	0	1	11:10	6
3	St. Pauli U19	3	1	1	1	5:5	4
4	Holstein Kiel U19	3	0	0	3	5:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hamburger U19	3	2	1	0	8:4	7
2	Werder Bremen U19	3	2	0	1	11:10	6
3	St. Pauli U19	3	1	1	1	5:5	4
4	Holstein Kiel U19	3	0	0	3	5:10	0