Palpites de Esportes

Stadium Background

Walsall vs Northampton

Inglaterra Inglaterra

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Bescot Stadium, Walsall
Nossa Dica

Eventos da Partida

46'
Sub
Jellis J. Entra: Finnigan R.
Sai: Jellis J.
46'
Sub
McGeehan C. Entra: Fornah T.
Sai: McGeehan C.
46'
Sub
Thorniley J. Entra: Guinness-Walker N.
Sai: Thorniley J.

Resumo do Jogo

This match ends 0-1, with Northampton advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

90%
Walsall
6%
Empates
4%
Northampton
Projeção de empate: 6% Favorito: Walsall

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

95% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Walsall carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Walsall a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Walsall have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Northampton, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Estruturas defensivas fortes favorecem um jogo controlado e de poucos gols.

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 85%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 44%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 25%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 22%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 10%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Walsall Sem Sofrer Gols 68%
Northampton Sem Sofrer Gols 15%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Walsall Northampton
Partidas Jogadas 28 28
Vitórias 7 3
Empates 8 6
Derrotas 13 19
Gols Marcados 1 0.75
Gols Sofridos 1.46 1.79
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.00 1.06
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

14 de jan. de 2026 EFL Trophy
Northampton vs Walsall
4:2
7 de out. de 2025 EFL Trophy
Walsall vs Northampton
0:1
4 de fev. de 2023 League Two
Northampton vs Walsall
0:0
4 de out. de 2022 League Two
Walsall vs Northampton
1:0
1 de mar. de 2022 League Two
Northampton vs Walsall
1:1

Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave

Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols

Walsall Comparar

Média xG / jogo 0.77
Média xA / jogo 0.5

Northampton Comparar

Artilheiro Swyer K.
1 Gols
Média xG / jogo 0.96
Média xA / jogo 0.59

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Walsall 95 / 100
Northampton 10 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Walsall Northampton

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Walsall Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
Resultado BTTS No (NG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Under 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Northampton has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Walsall remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Northampton registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

Walsall VS Northampton
0.88 Gols Marcados 1
1.13 Gols Sofridos 1.13
38% Mais de 1.5 50%
38% Mais de 2.5 38%
25% Mais de 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Walsall

(Home)
29 Aug
Walsall
3 : 2
Accrington
25 Aug
Walsall
0 : 1
Leyton Orient
22 Aug
Walsall
0 : 0
Grimsby
15 Aug
Gillingham
0 : 3
Walsall
06 Aug
Bristol City
0 : 1
Walsall
Page 1 of 6

Northampton

(Away)
29 Aug
Gillingham
1 : 1
Northampton
22 Aug
Crewe
1 : 0
Northampton
18 Aug
Northampton
0 : 3
Brighton U21
15 Aug
Northampton
0 : 0
Swindon
08 Aug
Leicester
1 : 0
Northampton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Stockport County 3 2 0 1 7:7 5
3 Wolves U21 3 1 0 2 7:10 3
4 Wigan 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranmere 3 3 0 0 6:4 8
2 Blackpool 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Barrow 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Nottingham U21 3 0 0 3 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doncaster 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Bradford City 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Grimsby 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Everton U21 3 0 0 3 5:12 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lincoln City 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Barnsley 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
3 Manchester United U21 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Notts County 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolton 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Rotherham 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
4 Oldham 3 0 0 3 5:14 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harrogate 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Huddersfield 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
3 Newcastle Utd U21 3 1 0 2 5:11 2
4 Mansfield 3 0 0 3 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Port Vale 3 2 0 1 9:4 7
2 Fleetwood Town 3 3 0 0 9:5 7
3 Accrington 3 1 0 2 5:6 4
4 Leeds U21 3 0 0 3 3:11 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crewe 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Chesterfield 3 1 0 2 4:9 4
3 Burton 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Liverpool U21 3 1 0 2 2:6 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Exeter 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Newport 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Arsenal U21 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol Rovers 3 3 0 0 6:4 8
2 Plymouth 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Cheltenham 3 1 0 2 2:5 2
4 Tottenham U21 3 0 0 3 8:12 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northampton 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Walsall 3 2 0 1 3:2 5
3 Shrewsbury 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Chelsea U21 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swindon 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
2 West Ham U21 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Reading 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
4 Milton Keynes Dons 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stevenage 3 3 0 0 12:4 9
2 AFC Wimbledon 3 2 0 1 6:7 6
3 Bromley 3 1 0 2 5:7 2
4 Crystal Palace U21 3 0 0 3 6:11 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leyton Orient 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Peterborough 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
3 Crawley Town 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Aston Villa U21 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Gillingham 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Fulham U21 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luton 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
2 Cambridge Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Barnet 3 2 0 1 5:7 5
4 Brighton U21 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)