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Wellington United W vs Southern United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
sáb., 17 de out. de 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

Wellington United W host Southern United W in the National League Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Southern United W have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Wellington United W have conceded 1.5 and scored 2.71. Head-to-head, Wellington United W have won 0 to Southern United W's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on 5 de out. de 2025, ending 1:1. xG projections (3.25 - 1.50) back Southern United W to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

90%
Wellington United W
6%
Empates
4%
Southern United W
Projeção de empate: 6% Favorito: Wellington United W

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

95% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Wellington United W at 2.71 per game, Southern United W at 1.93.
  • Wellington United W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Southern United W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 69%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 31%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 74.6%
Wellington United W Sem Sofrer Gols 16%
Southern United W Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Wellington United W Southern United W
Partidas Jogadas 28 28
Vitórias 13 13
Empates 6 4
Derrotas 9 11
Gols Marcados 2.71 1.93
Gols Sofridos 1.5 1.5
Gols Esperados (xG) 3.25 1.50
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

5 de out. de 2025 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Southern United W
1:1
26 de out. de 2024 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Southern United W
1:2
13 de out. de 2023 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Southern United W
0:1

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Wellington United W 84 / 100
Southern United W 10 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Wellington United W Southern United W

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Wellington United W Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Wellington United W scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Southern United W conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Wellington United W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

Wellington United W VS Southern United W
4.25 Gols Marcados 1.88
1.13 Gols Sofridos 2.25
75% Mais de 1.5 88%
75% Mais de 2.5 63%
75% Mais de 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington United W

(Home)
04 Oct
Wellington United W
0 : 1
Auckland United W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0
Petone W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
Page 1 of 6

Southern United W

(Away)
04 Oct
Southern United W
0 : 3
Fencibles W
26 Sept
Auckland United W
5 : 0
Southern United W
23 Nov
Southern United W
0 : 7
Western Springs W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0
Southern United W
08 Nov
Southern United W
7 : 0
Central Football W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eastern Suburbs W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Auckland United W 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
3 Fencibles W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Waterside Karori W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
5 Wellington Phoenix 2 W 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
6 Wellington United W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
7 Canterbury United W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
8 West Coast Rangers W 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
9 Southern United W 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)