Sport Picks

Mozambique

Mocambola 2018

1º de Maio de Quelimane

2 - 1

Ferroviario Maputo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

1º de Maio de Quelimane in this Mocambola 2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored 1º de Maio de Quelimane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

1º de Maio de Quelimane

39%

Draws

31%

Ferroviario Maputo

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Ferroviario Maputo lately — more wins on the board than 1º de Maio de Quelimane.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

1º de Maio de Quelimane Clean Sheet 20%

Ferroviario Maputo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	1º de Maio de Quelimane	Ferroviario Maputo
Matches Played	30	47
Wins	8	18
Draws	8	13
Losses	14	16
Goals Scored	0	1.13
Goals Conceded	0	1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2018 Mocambola

1º de Maio de Quelimane vs Ferroviario Maputo

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 0 - 3

2:1

Mar 4, 2018 Mocambola

Ferroviario Maputo vs 1º de Maio de Quelimane

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Jul 30, 2017 Mocambola

Ferroviario Maputo vs 1º de Maio de Quelimane

Possession: 42% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Apr 16, 2017 Mocambola

1º de Maio de Quelimane vs Ferroviario Maputo

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Sep 25, 2016 Mocambola

1º de Maio de Quelimane vs Ferroviario Maputo

Possession: 47% - 54% Cards: 2 - 4

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1º de Maio de Quelimane 31 / 100

Ferroviario Maputo 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

1º de Maio de Quelimane Ferroviario Maputo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1º Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1º de Maio de Quelimane's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ferroviario Maputo conceded in 60% of 47 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: 1º de Maio de Quelimane stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ferroviario Maputo

0 Goals Scored 1.13

0 Goals Conceded 1

0% Over 1.5 50%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Songo	30	17	7	6	38:26	58
2	Ferroviario Maputo	30	17	3	10	30:23	54
3	Liga Desportivo Maputo	30	15	6	9	37:25	51
4	Ferroviario Nampula	30	13	8	9	46:34	47
5	Maxaquene	30	11	11	8	34:28	44
6	Chibuto	30	11	10	9	39:24	43
7	Textafrica	30	11	9	10	26:34	42
8	Costa do Sol	30	9	13	8	24:17	40
9	Ferroviario Beira	30	10	9	11	37:28	39
10	Desportivo de Nacala	30	10	8	12	24:23	38
11	ENH Vilankulo	30	10	8	12	21:26	38
12	Incomati Xinavane	30	8	11	11	19:21	35
13	Ferroviario Nacala	30	8	11	11	18:26	35
14	UP de Manica	30	8	10	12	24:34	34
15	1º de Maio de Quelimane	30	8	8	14	24:36	32
16	Sporting Nampula	30	4	8	18	19:55	20