Sport Picks

Mozambique

Mocambola 2018

1º de Maio de Quelimane

2 - 1

UP de Manica

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2018 game between 1º de Maio de Quelimane and UP de Manica finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 1º de Maio de Quelimane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

1º de Maio de Quelimane

20%

Draws

38%

UP de Manica

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: 1º de Maio de Quelimane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

UP de Manica have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — 1º de Maio de Quelimane are scoring more at 0.88.
Win probability leans 1º de Maio de Quelimane's way, sitting at 42%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

1º de Maio de Quelimane Clean Sheet 20%

UP de Manica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	1º de Maio de Quelimane	UP de Manica
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	8
Draws	8	10
Losses	14	12
Goals Scored	0.88	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.38	2
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2018 Mocambola

UP de Manica vs 1º de Maio de Quelimane

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Jun 23, 2018 Mocambola

1º de Maio de Quelimane vs UP de Manica

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1º de Maio de Quelimane 42 / 100

UP de Manica 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

1º de Maio de Quelimane UP de Manica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1º de Maio de Quelimane's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

UP de Manica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

1º de Maio de Quelimane went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

1º de Maio de Quelimane VS UP de Manica

0.88 Goals Scored 0.75

1.38 Goals Conceded 2

63% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Songo	30	17	7	6	38:26	58
2	Ferroviario Maputo	30	17	3	10	30:23	54
3	Liga Desportivo Maputo	30	15	6	9	37:25	51
4	Ferroviario Nampula	30	13	8	9	46:34	47
5	Maxaquene	30	11	11	8	34:28	44
6	Chibuto	30	11	10	9	39:24	43
7	Textafrica	30	11	9	10	26:34	42
8	Costa do Sol	30	9	13	8	24:17	40
9	Ferroviario Beira	30	10	9	11	37:28	39
10	Desportivo de Nacala	30	10	8	12	24:23	38
11	ENH Vilankulo	30	10	8	12	21:26	38
12	Incomati Xinavane	30	8	11	11	19:21	35
13	Ferroviario Nacala	30	8	11	11	18:26	35
14	UP de Manica	30	8	10	12	24:34	34
15	1º de Maio de Quelimane	30	8	8	14	24:36	32
16	Sporting Nampula	30	4	8	18	19:55	20