Sport Picks

Stadium Background

1º de Maio vs Afogados da Ingazeira

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Afogados da Ingazeira in this Pernambucano 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Afogados da Ingazeira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
1º de Maio
30%
Draws
34%
Afogados da Ingazeira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: 1º de Maio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Afogados da Ingazeira have won more games recently than 1º de Maio.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on 1º de Maio taking it.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
1º de Maio Clean Sheet 15%
Afogados da Ingazeira Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1º de Maio Afogados da Ingazeira
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.86 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.29 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2023 Pernambucano 2
1º de Maio vs Afogados da Ingazeira
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1º de Maio 35 / 100
Afogados da Ingazeira 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1º de Maio Afogados da Ingazeira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

1º de Maio scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Afogados da Ingazeira has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

1º de Maio has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

1º de Maio VS Afogados da Ingazeira
0.86 Goals Scored 0.75
2.29 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 25%
43% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Afogados da Ingazeira11101028:431
2Academica Vitoria1190236:1027
3Flamengo Arcoverde1190227:827
4Decisao1170416:1021
5Vera Cruz1162331:1920
6Ibis Sport Club1143419:2315
7Atletico Torres1141614:1713
8Jaguar1131713:2410
9Atletico PE1123610:159
10Centro Limoeirense1121810:267
111º de Maio1112811:315
12Ferroviario do Cabo111289:375