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1º de Maio vs America PE

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 3
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

1º de Maio host America PE in the Pernambucano 3. America PE are expected to control this from the start. America PE have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while 1º de Maio have conceded 2.4 and scored 0.8. Past meetings favor America PE slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 13, 2024, ending 1:3. The numbers (0.72 xG vs 2.76) point toward America PE. America PE in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
1º de Maio
6%
Draws
90%
America PE
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: America PE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • America PE has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to 1º de Maio.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for America PE.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Pernambucano 3 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
1º de Maio Clean Sheet 10%
America PE Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1º de Maio America PE
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 0.8 3.13
Goals Conceded 2.4 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.40 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Pernambucano 3
1º de Maio vs America PE
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1º de Maio 10 / 100
America PE 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1º de Maio America PE

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1º de Maio scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

America PE let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

1º de Maio went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

America PE lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

1º de Maio VS America PE
0.8 Goals Scored 3.13
2.4 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America PE761018:419
2Caruaru742112:714
3Aguia FC733112:812
4Belo Jardim733111:712
5Pesqueira71513:48
6Cha Grande71158:144
71º de Maio71156:164
8Sete de Setembro (PE)70255:152