Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Segovia M.
Assist: Dalbert H.
50'
50'
Tarik
55'
55'
Sub
Paulinho Moccelin In: Gilberto
Out: Paulinho Moccelin
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Londrina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Londrina lately — more wins on the board than America MG.
- Londrina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
America MG Clean Sheet 13%
Londrina Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | America MG | Londrina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 13, 2026 Serie B
America MG vs Londrina
1:1
Nov 8, 2019 Serie B
Londrina vs America MG
0:1
Aug 7, 2019 Serie B
America MG vs Londrina
4:3
Nov 18, 2017 Serie B
Londrina vs America MG
0:0
Aug 1, 2017 Serie B
America MG vs Londrina
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
America MG Compare
Top Goalscorer Segovia M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Londrina Compare
Top Goalscorer Yago Lincoln
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
America MG 10 / 100
Londrina 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
America MG Londrina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
America MG scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Londrina let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
America MG has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
America MG VS Londrina
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
America MG
(Home) 13 Jul
America MG
1 : 1 Londrina
02 Jul
Cuiaba
1 : 0 America MG
27 Jun
Operario-PR
1 : 0 America MG
23 Jun
America MG
0 : 1 Criciuma
16 Jun
Fortaleza
0 : 3 America MG
Page 1 of 6
13 Jul
America MG
1 : 1 Londrina
23 Jun
America MG
0 : 1 Criciuma
08 Jun
America MG
1 : 2 Atletico GO
24 May
America MG
1 : 2 Vila Nova FC
07 May
America MG
3 : 2 Cianorte
Page 1 of 3
Londrina
(Away) 13 Jul
America MG
1 : 1 Londrina
04 Jul
Londrina
5 : 0 CRB
25 Jun
Cuiaba
2 : 2 Londrina
20 Jun
Londrina
2 : 0 Athletic Club
16 Jun
Londrina
3 : 2 Avai
Page 1 of 6
13 Jul
America MG
1 : 1 Londrina
25 Jun
Cuiaba
2 : 2 Londrina
06 Jun
Criciuma
1 : 0 Londrina
23 May
Fortaleza
3 : 0 Londrina
18 May
Ponte Preta
1 : 4 Londrina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 22:12 | 36 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 19:8 | 32 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 24:20 | 32 |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 25:21 | 31 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 21:17 | 31 |
| 6 | Novorizontino | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 28:17 | 30 |
| 7 | Goias | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 20:24 | 28 |
| 8 | Sao Bernardo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:17 | 27 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 23:17 | 27 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19:19 | 25 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 14:13 | 24 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 16:16 | 24 |
| 13 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 28:32 | 23 |
| 14 | Nautico | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 22:23 | 21 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 16 | Londrina | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 25:25 | 20 |
| 17 | Ceara | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16:21 | 19 |
| 18 | Avai | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | 17 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 12:35 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12:29 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)