Sport Picks
America MG vs Londrina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Mineirão, Belo Horizonte 
Match Events
45'
45'
Segovia M.
Assist: Dalbert H.
50'
50'
Tarik
55'
55'
Sub
Paulinho Moccelin In: Gilberto
Out: Paulinho Moccelin
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Londrina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Londrina lately — more wins on the board than America MG.
- Londrina are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
America MG Clean Sheet 16%
Londrina Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | America MG | Londrina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 21 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.76 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 13, 2026 Serie B
America MG vs Londrina
1:1
Nov 8, 2019 Serie B
Londrina vs America MG
0:1
Aug 7, 2019 Serie B
America MG vs Londrina
4:3
Nov 18, 2017 Serie B
Londrina vs America MG
0:0
Aug 1, 2017 Serie B
America MG vs Londrina
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
America MG Compare
Top Goalscorer Segovia M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Londrina Compare
Top Goalscorer Yago Lincoln
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
America MG 19 / 100
Londrina 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
America MG Londrina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Londrina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Londrina let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Londrina lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: America MG scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
America MG VS Londrina
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
America MG
(Home) 07 Oct
America MG
0 : 1 Fortaleza
03 Oct
Atletico GO
2 : 0 America MG
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1 EC Juventude
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0 America MG
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
America MG
0 : 1 Fortaleza
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1 EC Juventude
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
09 Sept
America MG
2 : 1 Nautico
30 Aug
America MG
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 3
Londrina
(Away) 07 Oct
Avai
2 : 1 Londrina
02 Oct
Londrina
0 : 2 Criciuma
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Londrina
20 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2 Fortaleza
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0 Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Avai
2 : 1 Londrina
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0 Londrina
10 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 2 Londrina
22 Aug
Ceara
2 : 1 Londrina
14 Aug
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Londrina
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 58 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 57 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 56 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33:28 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 50 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 47 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceara | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:39 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
