Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gimnasia L.P. vs Atl. Tucuman - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Fernandez N.
16'
Ferreira Namandu C. D.
46'
Sub
Tesuri R. In: Compagnucci G.
Out: Tesuri R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Gimnasia L.P.
30%
Draws
28%
Atl. Tucuman
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnasia L.P.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Gimnasia L.P. have won more games recently than Atl. Tucuman.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Gimnasia L.P. taking it.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Gimnasia L.P. Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Tucuman Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia L.P. Atl. Tucuman
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Atl. Tucuman
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Liga Profesional
Atl. Tucuman vs Gimnasia L.P.
1:0
Sep 1, 2025 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Atl. Tucuman
1:0
Feb 24, 2025 Liga Profesional
Atl. Tucuman vs Gimnasia L.P.
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Atl. Tucuman
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia L.P. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Atl. Tucuman Compare

Top Goalscorer Godoy L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia L.P. 50 / 100
Atl. Tucuman 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia L.P. Atl. Tucuman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnasia L.P. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia L.P. scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Gimnasia L.P. stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Atl. Tucuman has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Atl. Tucuman has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia L.P. VS Atl. Tucuman
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia L.P.

(Home)
03 Oct
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 1
Gimnasia L.P.
19 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 2
Banfield
13 Sept
Argentinos Jrs
1 : 1
Gimnasia L.P.
05 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 1
Tigre
29 Aug
Rosario Central
1 : 2
Gimnasia L.P.
Page 1 of 6

Atl. Tucuman

(Away)
03 Oct
Atl. Tucuman
2 : 3
Barracas Central
21 Sept
Aldosivi
1 : 0
Atl. Tucuman
16 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 2
Atl. Tucuman
12 Sept
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2
River Plate
07 Sept
Racing Club
1 : 2
Atl. Tucuman
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 11 8 1 2 17:8 25
2 Velez Sarsfield 11 5 6 0 17:11 21
3 Defensa y Justicia 11 6 3 2 16:11 21
4 Boca Juniors 11 5 5 1 17:11 20
5 Lanus 11 5 2 4 13:9 17
6 Newells Old Boys 11 4 5 2 11:8 17
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 11 5 2 4 14:12 17
8 Independiente 11 5 2 4 11:12 17
9 Estudiantes L.P. 11 4 1 6 13:11 13
10 Union de Santa Fe 11 4 1 6 17:19 13
11 Deportivo Riestra 11 2 5 4 9:11 11
12 San Lorenzo 11 3 2 6 4:11 11
13 Platense 11 2 4 5 11:17 10
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 11 2 3 6 8:14 9
15 Talleres Cordoba 11 2 2 7 11:18 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 11 6 3 2 15:10 21
2 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 11 5 4 2 12:7 19
3 Rosario Central 11 5 4 2 12:9 19
4 Huracan 11 5 4 2 11:8 19
5 Ind. Rivadavia 11 5 3 3 15:14 18
6 Gimnasia L.P. 11 5 3 3 16:16 18
7 Sarmiento Junin 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 Barracas Central 11 4 3 4 8:9 15
9 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
10 Atl. Tucuman 11 3 4 4 9:9 13
11 Tigre 11 3 3 5 10:11 12
12 Racing Club 11 3 2 6 13:17 11
13 Banfield 11 2 4 5 12:17 10
14 Aldosivi 11 2 2 7 12:17 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 11 1 3 7 6:15 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)