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1º de Maio vs Serrano PE

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Pernambucano 2 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
1º de Maio
20%
Draws
64%
Serrano PE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Serrano PE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Serrano PE haven't matched 1º de Maio's recent run of results.
  • 16% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and 1º de Maio have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
1º de Maio Clean Sheet 10%
Serrano PE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1º de Maio Serrano PE
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 6 3
Draws 8 7
Losses 19 20
Goals Scored 0.97 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.18 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.59 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2022 Pernambucano 2
1º de Maio vs Serrano PE
1:0
Sep 26, 2021 Pernambucano 2
1º de Maio vs Serrano PE
6:1
Sep 15, 2018 Pernambucano 2
1º de Maio vs Serrano PE
1:1
Sep 9, 2018 Pernambucano 2
Serrano PE vs 1º de Maio
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1º de Maio 29 / 100
Serrano PE 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1º de Maio Serrano PE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1º de Maio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Serrano PE conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

1º de Maio found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Serrano PE lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

1º de Maio VS Serrano PE
1.38 Goals Scored 0.6
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.8
100% Over 1.5 80%
100% Over 2.5 40%
75% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

1º de Maio

(Home)
02 Nov
1º de Maio
0 : 2
Caruaru
27 Oct
Belo Jardim
2 : 1
1º de Maio
20 Oct
Pesqueira
1 : 1
1º de Maio
13 Oct
1º de Maio
1 : 3
America PE
08 Oct
Aguia FC
4 : 1
1º de Maio
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Serrano PE

(Away)
25 Nov
Serrano PE
1 : 2
Aguia FC
18 Nov
Cabense
4 : 0
Serrano PE
05 Nov
Serrano PE
0 : 2
Ypiranga
28 Oct
Ipojuca
0 : 1
Serrano PE
22 Oct
Serrano PE
1 : 1
Barreiros FC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petrolina 6 5 1 0 8:2 16
2 1º de Maio 6 3 1 2 4:3 10
3 Serrano PE 6 2 2 2 5:6 8
4 Sete de Setembro (PE) 6 0 0 6 0:6 0
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CA Porto 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
2 Decisao 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
3 Ypiranga 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vera Cruz 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
2 Centro Limoeirense 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
3 Nautico 2 6 2 2 2 5:6 8
4 Timbauba FC 6 2 0 4 4:7 6
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Recife B 6 3 2 1 15:6 11
2 Ibis Sport Club 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 Cabense 6 2 2 2 10:13 8
4 Ferroviario do Cabo 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2018 (Play Offs)