Sport Picks

Stadium Background

D. Puerto Montt vs Nublense

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Regional de Chinquihue, Puerto Montt
D. Puerto Montt Logo

D. Puerto Montt

2 - 0
FT
Nublense Logo

Nublense

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Salomon C.
46'
Sub
Nanning C. In: Egana K.
Out: Nanning C.
46'
Sub
Vargas C. In: Castillo G.
Out: Vargas C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
D. Puerto Montt
15%
Draws
42%
Nublense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: D. Puerto Montt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • D. Puerto Montt haven't matched Nublense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives D. Puerto Montt a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Nublense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor D. Puerto Montt, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 68%
Nublense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric D. Puerto Montt Nublense
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.89 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Copa Chile
Nublense vs D. Puerto Montt
2:1
Sep 22, 2026 Copa Chile
D. Puerto Montt vs Nublense
2:0
Oct 29, 2024 Copa Chile
Nublense vs D. Puerto Montt
2:1
Oct 23, 2024 Copa Chile
D. Puerto Montt vs Nublense
1:1
Nov 20, 2020 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Nublense
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

D. Puerto Montt Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabella A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flores J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nublense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D. Puerto Montt 95 / 100
Nublense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
D. Puerto Montt Nublense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick D. Puerto Montt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

D. Puerto Montt scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Nublense let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Nublense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

D. Puerto Montt VS Nublense
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

D. Puerto Montt

(Home)
03 Oct
Copiapo
3 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
29 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
0 : 1
Colo Colo
26 Sept
Nublense
2 : 1
D. Puerto Montt
22 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0
Nublense
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
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Nublense

(Away)
26 Sept
Nublense
2 : 1
D. Puerto Montt
22 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0
Nublense
12 Sept
Nublense
1 : 3
Everton
06 Sept
La Serena
2 : 1
Nublense
03 Sept
Limache
2 : 0
Nublense
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Colo Colo 1
A. Italiano 0
Nublense 2
D. Puerto Montt 3
Deportes Santa Cruz 2
O Higgins 5
D. Concepcion 6
Curico Unido 0
U. De Chile 2
Everton 1
Antofagasta 5
Deportes Iquique 2
U. Catolica 1
Union La Calera 2
Coquimbo 2
Cobreloa 1
Quarter-finals
Colo Colo 2
D. Puerto Montt 0
O Higgins 3
D. Concepcion 0
U. De Chile -
Antofagasta -
Union La Calera -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
O Higgins -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -