Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coquimbo vs Union La Calera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, Coquimbo
Wed, Nov 4, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Coquimbo have averaged 1.33 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Union La Calera's 1.14 scored and 1.24 conceded. Past meetings favor Coquimbo slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.88 - 1.13) back Coquimbo to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Coquimbo
15%
Draws
46%
Union La Calera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union La Calera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coquimbo come out ahead of Union La Calera on wins alone.
  • Model gives Coquimbo a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Coquimbo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Coquimbo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Coquimbo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Coquimbo Clean Sheet 20%
Union La Calera Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coquimbo Union La Calera
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Coquimbo vs Union La Calera
1:1
Jul 8, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Union La Calera vs Coquimbo
0:1
Apr 24, 2026 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs Coquimbo
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Liga de Primera
Coquimbo vs Union La Calera
2:0
Jul 2, 2025 Copa Chile
Union La Calera vs Coquimbo
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coquimbo 42 / 100
Union La Calera 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coquimbo Union La Calera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coquimbo found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Union La Calera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Coquimbo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Coquimbo VS Union La Calera
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coquimbo

(Home)
07 Oct
Coquimbo
2 : 1
Cobreloa
22 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 2
Coquimbo
16 Sept
Coquimbo
0 : 1
Huachipato
12 Sept
Cobresal
3 : 2
Coquimbo
06 Sept
U. De Chile
4 : 2
Coquimbo
Page 1 of 6

Union La Calera

(Away)
26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1
U. Catolica
14 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 0
Limache
06 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Union La Calera
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1
La Serena
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Colo Colo 1
A. Italiano 0
Nublense 2
D. Puerto Montt 3
Deportes Santa Cruz 2
O Higgins 5
D. Concepcion 6
Curico Unido 0
U. De Chile 2
Everton 1
Antofagasta 5
Deportes Iquique 2
U. Catolica 1
Union La Calera 2
Coquimbo 4
Cobreloa 2
Quarter-finals
Colo Colo 2
D. Puerto Montt 0
O Higgins 3
D. Concepcion 0
U. De Chile 0
Antofagasta 2
Union La Calera -
Coquimbo -
Semi-finals
TBD -
O Higgins -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -