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1 de Mayo vs CD Guadalajara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
1 de Mayo
20%
Draws
15%
CD Guadalajara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: 1 de Mayo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • 1 de Mayo have won more games recently than CD Guadalajara.
  • Model gives 1 de Mayo a 65% chance of winning this.
  • 1 de Mayo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor 1 de Mayo, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • 1 de Mayo have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
1 de Mayo Clean Sheet 20%
CD Guadalajara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1 de Mayo CD Guadalajara
Matches Played 24 14
Wins 13 4
Draws 0 2
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.46 1
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
1 de Mayo vs CD Guadalajara
2:0
Sep 6, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
CD Guadalajara vs 1 de Mayo
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
1 de Mayo vs CD Guadalajara
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
CD Guadalajara vs 1 de Mayo
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1 de Mayo 85 / 100
CD Guadalajara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1 de Mayo CD Guadalajara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1 de Mayo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Guadalajara has conceded goals in 86% of their last 14 outings.

1 de Mayo found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (24 games).

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

1 de Mayo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

1 de Mayo VS CD Guadalajara
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

1 de Mayo

(Home)
27 Sept
1 de Mayo
1 : 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
20 Sept
1 de Mayo
2 : 0
CD Guadalajara
12 Sept
Central Union
4 : 0
1 de Mayo
06 Sept
CD Guadalajara
1 : 2
1 de Mayo
30 Aug
1 de Mayo
3 : 1
Central Union
Page 1 of 5

CD Guadalajara

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Guadalajara
1 : 2
Central Union
20 Sept
1 de Mayo
2 : 0
CD Guadalajara
12 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
1 : 1
CD Guadalajara
06 Sept
CD Guadalajara
1 : 2
1 de Mayo
30 Aug
CD Guadalajara
2 : 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Fatic 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
3 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
4 Libertad FC 6 0 1 5 0:22 1
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 26 de Febrero 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Chaco FC 6 3 0 3 19:15 9
3 Hiska Nacional 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
4 Ingenieros 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente CBBA 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Mineros Potosi 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
4 Atletico Juniors 6 0 0 6 5:26 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virginia 6 4 2 0 10:3 14
2 Tiquipaya 6 3 2 1 15:4 11
3 San Martin de Yacuiba 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
4 Universitario Beni 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Deportivo Tigres 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 Universitario de Sucre 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 5:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Central Union 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 CD Guadalajara 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)