Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguila vs Metapan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aguila host Metapan in the Primera Division. This one's hard to separate. Metapan have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Aguila have conceded 1.09 and scored 1.56. Head-to-head, Aguila have won 2 to Metapan's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.13) point toward Aguila. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Aguila
15%
Draws
44%
Metapan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metapan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Aguila have won more games recently than Metapan.
  • Aguila are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Aguila Clean Sheet 20%
Metapan Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguila Metapan
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.56 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Aguila
2:1
Mar 18, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Metapan
1:1
Jan 22, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Aguila
4:2
Nov 30, 2025 Primera Division
Metapan vs Aguila
0:2
Nov 23, 2025 Primera Division
Aguila vs Metapan
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguila 36 / 100
Metapan 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguila Metapan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Aguila scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Metapan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Aguila stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aguila VS Metapan
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguila

(Home)
03 Oct
Aguila
4 : 1
Cacahuatique
30 Sept
Aguila
2 : 1
Inter Santa Tecla
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
20 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 1
Aguila
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
Page 1 of 7

Metapan

(Away)
03 Oct
Metapan
3 : 2
Atletico Balboa
27 Sept
Metapan
2 : 0
Cacahuatique
19 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Metapan
13 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 2
Metapan
09 Sept
Platense Municipal
1 : 2
Metapan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metapan 13 8 2 3 20:12 26
2 Luis Angel Firpo 13 7 4 2 23:9 25
3 FAS 12 7 3 2 22:11 24
4 Inter Santa Tecla 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
5 Aguila 14 5 5 4 22:18 20
6 Alianza FC 12 4 6 2 19:17 18
7 Municipal Limeno 14 5 2 7 19:19 17
8 Platense Municipal 14 4 4 6 15:19 16
9 Inca Aruba 14 4 4 6 12:23 16
10 Atletico Balboa 14 3 4 7 15:22 13
11 Cacahuatique 14 2 5 7 14:24 11
12 Fuerte San Francisco 14 1 6 7 9:23 9
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)