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1 de Mayo vs Central Union - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
1 de Mayo
15%
Draws
34%
Central Union
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: 1 de Mayo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • 1 de Mayo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives 1 de Mayo a 42% chance of winning this.
  • 1 de Mayo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor 1 de Mayo, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors 1 de Mayo here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
1 de Mayo Clean Sheet 17%
Central Union Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1 de Mayo Central Union
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 0 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.46 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Central Union vs 1 de Mayo
4:0
Aug 30, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
1 de Mayo vs Central Union
3:1
Sep 21, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
1 de Mayo vs Central Union
3:0
Sep 6, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Central Union vs 1 de Mayo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1 de Mayo 41 / 100
Central Union 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1 de Mayo Central Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1 de Mayo's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Central Union has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

1 de Mayo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

1 de Mayo VS Central Union
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

1 de Mayo

(Home)
27 Sept
1 de Mayo
1 : 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
20 Sept
1 de Mayo
2 : 0
CD Guadalajara
12 Sept
Central Union
4 : 0
1 de Mayo
06 Sept
CD Guadalajara
1 : 2
1 de Mayo
30 Aug
1 de Mayo
3 : 1
Central Union
Page 1 of 5

Central Union

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Guadalajara
1 : 2
Central Union
19 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 0
Central Union
12 Sept
Central Union
4 : 0
1 de Mayo
05 Sept
Central Union
0 : 1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
30 Aug
1 de Mayo
3 : 1
Central Union
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Fatic 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
3 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
4 Libertad FC 6 0 1 5 0:22 1
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 26 de Febrero 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Chaco FC 6 3 0 3 19:15 9
3 Hiska Nacional 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
4 Ingenieros 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente CBBA 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Mineros Potosi 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
4 Atletico Juniors 6 0 0 6 5:26 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virginia 6 4 2 0 10:3 14
2 Tiquipaya 6 3 2 1 15:4 11
3 San Martin de Yacuiba 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
4 Universitario Beni 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Deportivo Tigres 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 Universitario de Sucre 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 5:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Central Union 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 CD Guadalajara 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)