Sport Picks

Stadium Background

1. FC Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen

Germany Germany

Bundesliga 2025/2026 RheinEnergieStadion
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Tapsoba E.
43' Event
Schick P.
(Penalty)
45'
Johannesson I.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between 1. FC Koln and Bayer Leverkusen finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayer Leverkusen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
1. FC Koln
39%
Draws
30%
Bayer Leverkusen
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayer Leverkusen come out ahead of 1. FC Koln on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bayer Leverkusen have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
1. FC Koln Clean Sheet 12%
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1. FC Koln Bayer Leverkusen
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 15
Draws 10 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Koln
2:0
Feb 5, 2025 DFB Pokal
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Koln
3:2
Mar 3, 2024 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen
0:2
Oct 8, 2023 Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Koln
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

1. FC Koln Compare

Top Goalscorer Waldschmidt L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Bayer Leverkusen Compare

Top Goalscorer Schick P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1. FC Koln 30 / 100
Bayer Leverkusen 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1. FC Koln Bayer Leverkusen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: 1. FC Koln scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Bayer Leverkusen has conceded goals in 68% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

1. FC Koln has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

1. FC Koln VS Bayer Leverkusen
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern Munich342851122:3689
2Dortmund34227570:3473
3RB Leipzig34205966:4765
4VfB Stuttgart34188871:4962
5Hoffenheim34187965:5261
6Bayer Leverkusen34178968:4759
7Freiburg341381351:5747
8Eintracht Frankfurt3411111261:6544
9Augsburg341271545:6143
10Mainz3410101444:5340
11Union Berlin341091544:5839
12B. Monchengladbach349111442:5338
13Hamburger349111440:5438
141. FC Koln347111649:6332
15Werder Bremen34881837:6032
16Wolfsburg34781945:6929
17Heidenheim34682041:7226
18St. Pauli34682029:6026