Sport Picks

Stadium Background

1. FC Koln vs Bayern Munich

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal 2025/2026 RheinEnergieStadion
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
El Mala S.
31' Event
Ache R.
Assist: Johannesson I.
36' Event
Diaz L.

AI Match Summary

Bayern Munich in this DFB Pokal 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayern Munich.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
1. FC Koln
6%
Draws
90%
Bayern Munich
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bayern Munich

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • 1. FC Koln haven't matched Bayern Munich's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bayern Munich a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Cup games in DFB Pokal 2025/2026 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Bayern Munich have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
1. FC Koln Clean Sheet 10%
Bayern Munich Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1. FC Koln Bayern Munich
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 5 27
Draws 9 4
Losses 15 2
Goals Scored 1.38 3.5
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln
5:1
Jan 14, 2026 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Bayern Munich
1:3
Oct 29, 2025 DFB Pokal
1. FC Koln vs Bayern Munich
1:4
Apr 13, 2024 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs 1. FC Koln
2:0
Nov 24, 2023 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Bayern Munich
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

1. FC Koln Compare

Top Goalscorer Ache R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bayern Munich Compare

Top Goalscorer Kane H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1. FC Koln 10 / 100
Bayern Munich 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1. FC Koln Bayern Munich

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: 1. FC Koln scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Bayern Munich conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

1. FC Koln has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

1. FC Koln VS Bayern Munich
1.38 Goals Scored 3.5
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Engers0
Eintracht Frankfurt5
RW Essen0
Dortmund1
FC Viktoria Koln1
Paderborn3
Sonnenhof Grossaspach0
Bayer Leverkusen4
Delmenhorst2
B. Monchengladbach3
Meuselwitz0
Karlsruher5
Eintracht Norderstedt0
St. Pauli1
Hansa Rostock0
Hoffenheim4
Gutersloh0
Union Berlin5
Arminia Bielefeld1
Werder Bremen0
Regensburg1
1. FC Koln2
Wehen2
Bayern Munich3
Energie Cottbus1
Hannover0
Sandhausen2
RB Leipzig4
Illertissen4
Nurnberg3
Saarbrucken1
Magdeburg3
Bahlinger0
Heidenheim5
Pirmasens1
Hamburger2
Hemelingen0
Wolfsburg9
FC 08 Homburg0
Holstein Kiel2
Hallescher0
Augsburg2
BFC Dynamo1
Bochum3
Dresden0
Mainz1
Braunschweig4
VfB Stuttgart5
Preussen Munster0
Hertha Berlin1
Ulm0
Elversberg1
Lohne0
Greuther Furth2
Rsv Eintracht0
Kaiserslautern7
1. FC Schweinfurt2
Dusseldorf4
Lotte0
Freiburg2
Lubeck1
Darmstadt2
Lokomotive Leipzig0
Schalke1
1/16-finals
Eintracht Frankfurt1
Dortmund2
Paderborn2
Bayer Leverkusen4
B. Monchengladbach3
Karlsruher1
St. Pauli3
Hoffenheim2
Union Berlin2
Arminia Bielefeld1
1. FC Koln1
Bayern Munich4
Energie Cottbus1
RB Leipzig4
Illertissen0
Magdeburg3
Heidenheim0
Hamburger1
Wolfsburg0
Holstein Kiel1
Augsburg0
Bochum1
Mainz0
VfB Stuttgart2
Hertha Berlin3
Elversberg0
Greuther Furth0
Kaiserslautern1
Dusseldorf1
Freiburg3
Darmstadt4
Schalke0
1/8-finals
Dortmund0
Bayer Leverkusen1
B. Monchengladbach1
St. Pauli2
Union Berlin2
Bayern Munich3
RB Leipzig3
Magdeburg1
Hamburger1
Holstein Kiel2
Bochum0
VfB Stuttgart2
Hertha Berlin6
Kaiserslautern1
Freiburg2
Darmstadt0
Quarter-finals
Bayer Leverkusen3
St. Pauli0
Bayern Munich2
RB Leipzig0
Holstein Kiel0
VfB Stuttgart3
Hertha Berlin1
Freiburg2
Semi-finals
Bayer Leverkusen0
Bayern Munich2
VfB Stuttgart2
Freiburg1
Final
Bayern Munich3
VfB Stuttgart0