Sport Picks

Stadium Background

1. FC Koln vs Dortmund

Germany Germany

Bundesliga 2025/2026 RheinEnergieStadion
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Guirassy S.
Assist: Beier M.
45'
Simpson-Pusey J.
45'
Bensebaini R.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between 1. FC Koln and Dortmund finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dortmund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
1. FC Koln
6%
Draws
90%
Dortmund
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dortmund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dortmund carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Dortmund's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dortmund have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
1. FC Koln Clean Sheet 12%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1. FC Koln Dortmund
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 18
Draws 10 4
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Dortmund
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs 1. FC Koln
1:0
Jan 20, 2024 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Dortmund
0:4
Aug 19, 2023 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs 1. FC Koln
1:0
Mar 18, 2023 Bundesliga
Dortmund vs 1. FC Koln
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

1. FC Koln Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaminski J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Dortmund Compare

Top Goalscorer Guirassy S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beier M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1. FC Koln 10 / 100
Dortmund 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1. FC Koln Dortmund

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1. FC Koln scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Dortmund has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: 1. FC Koln stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

1. FC Koln VS Dortmund
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern Munich342851122:3689
2Dortmund34227570:3473
3RB Leipzig34205966:4765
4VfB Stuttgart34188871:4962
5Hoffenheim34187965:5261
6Bayer Leverkusen34178968:4759
7Freiburg341381351:5747
8Eintracht Frankfurt3411111261:6544
9Augsburg341271545:6143
10Mainz3410101444:5340
11Union Berlin341091544:5839
12B. Monchengladbach349111442:5338
13Hamburger349111440:5438
141. FC Koln347111649:6332
15Werder Bremen34881837:6032
16Wolfsburg34781945:6929
17Heidenheim34682041:7226
18St. Pauli34682029:6026