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1. FC Koln vs Hertha Berlin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ache R.
80' Event
Gronning S.
107' Event
Bulter M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between 1. FC Koln and Hertha Berlin finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
1. FC Koln
30%
Draws
51%
Hertha Berlin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hertha Berlin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hertha Berlin come out ahead of 1. FC Koln on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hertha Berlin a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
1. FC Koln Clean Sheet 10%
Hertha Berlin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1. FC Koln Hertha Berlin
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 17
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.75 2.71
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Club Friendly
1. FC Koln vs Hertha Berlin
2:2
Apr 5, 2025 2. Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Hertha Berlin
0:1
Dec 4, 2024 DFB Pokal
1. FC Koln vs Hertha Berlin
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin vs 1. FC Koln
0:1
May 12, 2023 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Hertha Berlin
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

1. FC Koln Compare

Top Goalscorer Ache R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bulter M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Hertha Berlin Compare

Top Goalscorer Gronning S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gouram S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1. FC Koln 10 / 100
Hertha Berlin 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1. FC Koln Hertha Berlin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hertha Berlin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1. FC Koln found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Hertha Berlin conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

1. FC Koln has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

1. FC Koln VS Hertha Berlin
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

1. FC Koln

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Viktoria Koln
2 : 2
1. FC Koln
19 Sept
Hamburger
2 : 1
1. FC Koln
12 Sept
1. FC Koln
1 : 1
Werder Bremen
04 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
4 : 1
1. FC Koln
29 Aug
1. FC Koln
3 : 2
Hoffenheim
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Hertha Berlin

(Away)
02 Oct
Augsburg
2 : 2
Hertha Berlin
29 Sept
Hertha Zehlendorf
1 : 3
Hertha Berlin
19 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Hertha Berlin
13 Sept
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 3
Hertha Berlin
06 Sept
Hertha Berlin
2 : 1
Magdeburg
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