Sport Picks

Stadium Background

1. FC Koln vs Werder Bremen

Germany Germany

Bundesliga RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Dallinga T.
Penalty Missed
11' Event
Maina L.
Assist: Skhiri E.
64'
Sub
Dallinga T. In: Ache R.
Out: Dallinga T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
1. FC Koln
20%
Draws
47%
Werder Bremen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Werder Bremen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Werder Bremen have won more games recently than 1. FC Koln.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on 1. FC Koln taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
1. FC Koln Clean Sheet 10%
Werder Bremen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1. FC Koln Werder Bremen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.69 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Werder Bremen
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Werder Bremen
3:1
Nov 29, 2025 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Koln
1:1
Feb 16, 2024 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Werder Bremen
0:1
Sep 23, 2023 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Koln
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

1. FC Koln Compare

Top Goalscorer Maina L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Werder Bremen Compare

Top Goalscorer Fullkrug N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1. FC Koln 34 / 100
Werder Bremen 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1. FC Koln Werder Bremen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1. FC Koln's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Werder Bremen has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

1. FC Koln has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

1. FC Koln VS Werder Bremen
2.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

1. FC Koln

(Home)
19 Sept
Hamburger
2 : 1
1. FC Koln
12 Sept
1. FC Koln
1 : 1
Werder Bremen
04 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
4 : 1
1. FC Koln
29 Aug
1. FC Koln
3 : 2
Hoffenheim
24 Aug
Wurzburger Kickers
1 : 2
1. FC Koln
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Werder Bremen

(Away)
19 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 2
Augsburg
12 Sept
1. FC Koln
1 : 1
Werder Bremen
05 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 1
RB Leipzig
30 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1
Werder Bremen
22 Aug
Luneburger Hansa
0 : 3
Werder Bremen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
2 Bayern Munich 4 3 1 0 14:2 10
3 Freiburg 4 3 1 0 12:3 10
4 Augsburg 4 2 1 1 11:6 7
5 Bayer Leverkusen 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
6 Mainz 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
7 Elversberg 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
8 Werder Bremen 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 2 0 2 9:5 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 1 2 1 9:10 5
11 Schalke 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
12 Paderborn 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
13 1. FC Koln 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Hoffenheim 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 1 0 3 6:9 3
16 Hamburger 4 1 0 3 2:13 3
17 Union Berlin 4 0 1 3 4:17 1
18 B. Monchengladbach 4 0 0 4 6:16 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)